Business Fluctuation

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Jun Oga - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.

  • Business Fluctuation and the sport industry in japan an analysis of the sport industry from 1986 to 1993
    1998
    Co-Authors: Jun Oga
    Abstract:

    The purpose of this study was to assess the extent to which the Japanese sport industry was affected by Business Fluctuations in the domestic economy during the 1986-1993 Business cycle. In addition, the relations between changes in the general economy (gross domestic product, combined sector in the economic activities, family income, living expenditures, and working hours) and the value of the sport industry were investigated. The annual figures for these variables were derived from several government and nongovernment publications, and the percentage changes in these variables were used in multiple regression analysis. Analysis indicated that the trend in value of the sport industry was affected by the Fluctuations and demonstrated positive correlation with the changes in the combined sector in the general economy. However, the trend in value of the sport industry was not correlated with trends in family income or living expenditures during the period under observation. Subsequent analysis of the sports...

H C Chen - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.

  • an application of intelligent neural network to time series Business Fluctuation prediction
    1994
    Co-Authors: A Satyadas, H C Chen
    Abstract:

    Economy is a dynamic system that inherits nonlinearity through long term trends, seasonal patterns, cyclical movements, and irregular factors. Time series prediction of Business cycle indicators plays a critical role in managing an economy. Artificial neural network models have been successfully applied with univariate time series, multivariate datasets, classification techniques, and integrated techniques that incorporate various methods for economy prediction. Flexible intelligent systems for soft computing (FISSC) allow dynamic multi-level reasoning and inference using a fuzzy neural multicriteria group decision making framework. This paper focus on the application of the FISSC intelligent neural module to time series economy prediction. The neural module performance is evaluated in terms of convergence, generalization, scalability, sensitivity, and structural stability using the USA Business cyclical indicator data set. This data set includes the lead, lag, and coincidental indicators that span over 420 months. The results are presented and the authors conclude with a discussion on their ongoing research direction. >

L I Chaoxian - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.

A Satyadas - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.

  • an application of intelligent neural network to time series Business Fluctuation prediction
    1994
    Co-Authors: A Satyadas, H C Chen
    Abstract:

    Economy is a dynamic system that inherits nonlinearity through long term trends, seasonal patterns, cyclical movements, and irregular factors. Time series prediction of Business cycle indicators plays a critical role in managing an economy. Artificial neural network models have been successfully applied with univariate time series, multivariate datasets, classification techniques, and integrated techniques that incorporate various methods for economy prediction. Flexible intelligent systems for soft computing (FISSC) allow dynamic multi-level reasoning and inference using a fuzzy neural multicriteria group decision making framework. This paper focus on the application of the FISSC intelligent neural module to time series economy prediction. The neural module performance is evaluated in terms of convergence, generalization, scalability, sensitivity, and structural stability using the USA Business cyclical indicator data set. This data set includes the lead, lag, and coincidental indicators that span over 420 months. The results are presented and the authors conclude with a discussion on their ongoing research direction. >

L I Yongyou - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.

  • analysis on the relations between Business Fluctuation and fiscal policy Fluctuation in china fiscal policy discretion vs automatic stabilizers
    2006
    Co-Authors: L I Yongyou
    Abstract:

    Based on efficient measurement of Business Fluctuation and fiscal policy Fluctuation, this paper utilizes impulse response and linear regression to analyze the relations between them quantitatively. It is found that, since 1978, their Fluctuations have been quite similar interfering with each other, but fiscal revenue and expenditure Fluctuation elicited by Business Fluctuation is asymmetric, which can be explained as a major cause of fiscal deficit since 1994. Two-way Granger causality doesn't exist between them completely, elicited fiscal revenue and expenditure have smaller influences on Business Fluctuation, and there exists an evident time-lag. Although discretionary fiscal policy has shorter time-lag, coordination failure exists evidently between revenue and expenditure policy; their effects on Business are asymmetric. As long as efficacy is concerned, expansionary policy is better than contractive policy, discretion better than stabilizers