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Thomas A Evans - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.

  • the effects of discretionary federal spending on parliamentary election results
    Social Science Research Network, 2006
    Co-Authors: Thomas A Evans
    Abstract:

    Parliamentary rules make it difficult for opposition members of Parliament to influence government spending. As the electorate is aware of this situation discretionary federal spending is expected to affect vote-share differently for majority and opposition incumbents. Consistent estimators yield positive and significant point estimates for the impact of increases in spending for majority incumbents in Canadian federal elections yet yield negative but insignificant point estimates for opposition incumbents. Furthermore, $100 additional federal spending per capita in an Electoral District is estimated to increase majority candidates' vote-share, regardless of incumbency, by between 1.5 and 2.5 percentage points.

  • the effects of discretionary federal spending on parliamentary election results
    Economic Inquiry, 2006
    Co-Authors: Thomas A Evans
    Abstract:

    I. INTRODUCTION Three compelling reasons to expect that discretionary federal spending will have a different impact on incumbent majority and opposition candidates in the Canadian parliamentary system of government are: only the prime minister and his appointed Cabinet may propose spending or taxing initiatives; the electorate only votes directly for their local Member of Parliament (MP); and, if the prime minister declares a vote-of-confidence all majority party MPs must vote with the prime minister or leave the party. These three characteristics, combined with the fact that the Opposition does not have enough votes to successfully prevent passage of legislation, make it very difficult for opposition MPs to influence discretionary spending. If the electorate is aware of this situation, majority party candidates, regardless of incumbency, stand to reap the Electoral benefits of additional federal discretionary spending. Furthermore, opposition incumbents will lose votes as a consequence; if majority candidates receive additional votes, to some extent this must be at the expense of votes for opposition incumbents. The purpose of this paper is to empirically test these two hypothesis. The idea that discretionary spending can be used to influence election outcomes verges on the trite. Mass media discussions are rife with accusations of pork barrel politics, this idea is implicitly contained the entire interest group theory of political decision making, and it is formally modeled in papers such as Weingast, Shepsle and Johnsen (1981). Despite the general agreement on the Electoral motivations of discretionary spending, empirical findings have been relatively unsuccessful in documenting either important or significant effects of discretionary spending, or various other District level explanatory variables. Typical of this literature, Jacobson (1978) finds a negative and small effect of incumbent campaign spending, and Johannes and McAdams (1981) find no effect of case work on election outcomes. As explained by Fiorina (1981), Rivers and Fiorina (1989) and Stein and Bickers (1994), the presence of a simultaneous equation system has biased the empirical estimates. Since politicians are apt to shift resources towards those Electoral Districts where the election is expected to be closest, ordinary least squares will underestimate the true effect. Stein and Bickers demonstrate a negative correlation between the closeness of elections and the amount of pork barrel spending in Congressional races; in a more recent article, Case (2001) finds that federal block grants are negatively influenced by the expected closeness of the election in Albania. Despite the recognition of a simultaneity bias, attempts to overcome the problem have generally been unsuccessful. A notable exception is that of Levitt and Snyder (1997) who uses spending outside of a District but inside a state as an instrument for spending in the District. Levitt and Snyder find a positive and significant impact of discretionary spending on the share of the vote for incumbents in U.S. House elections. This paper contributes to the discretionary spending and election literature in two ways. Using a newly created data set of Canadian federal spending at the Electoral District level, the analysis of discretionary spending can be extended beyond the U.S. border and presidential system of government, to a parliamentary system. Additionally, the results contained herein provide a robustness check of Levitt and Snyder's methodology. Using instruments similar to those proposed by Nagler and Leighley (1992) and Levitt and Snyder (1997), consistent estimates indicate that increases in federal government spending and national gross domestic product (GDP) per capita have positive and significant effects on the share of the vote received by majority incumbents, yet insignificant effects on opposition incumbents (The sign of the point estimates are negative). …

Pérez Pérez Ketzalcóatl - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.

  • Meios de comunicação e mobilidade cognitiva: séries políticas em streaming, Puebla, México 2018
    'Universidad de Medellin', 2020
    Co-Authors: Estrada Rodríguez, José Luis, Pérez Pérez Ketzalcóatl
    Abstract:

    This research work analyzes the influence of television series that are broadcast through streaming platforms in Mexico. The research took a representative sample of 400 young people, who were surveyed to know the impact of these communication products in the construction of their perception, political participation and political culture in the last elections of July 2018. Through a quantitative methodology and the use of the statistical sample, belonging to 12 thousand 884 voters from 18 to 19 years old from the capital of Puebla, from the Electoral District 12; it was found that there is a low degree of appropriation, the young people surveyed do not determine their perception of Mexican politics from the series they visualize, cognitive mobility is therefore not determinant for this case of the study presented.Este trabajo de investigación analiza la influencia que tienen las series televisivas que se difunden por medio de las plataformas streaming en México. La investigación tomó una muestra representativa de 400 jóvenes, que fueron encuestados para conocer la incidencia que tienen estos productos comunicativos en la construcción de su percepción, participación política y cultura política en las pasadas elecciones de julio de 2018. Mediante una metodología cuantitativa y el uso de la muestra estadística, perteneciente a 12 mil 884 electores de 18 a 19 años de la capital poblana, del distrito 12 Electoral; se encontró que existe un grado de apropiación bajo, los jóvenes encuestados no determinan su percepción sobre la política mexicana a partir de las series que visualizan, la movilidad cognitiva por tanto no es determinante para este caso del estudio presentado.Este trabalho de pesquisa analisa a influência de séries de televisão que são transmitidas através de plataformas de streaming no México. A pesquisa levou uma amostra representativa de 400 jovens, que foram pesquisados ​​para conhecer o impacto desses produtos de comunicação na construção de sua percepção, participação política e cultura política nas últimas eleições de julho de 2018. Através de uma metodologia quantitativa e do uso de a amostra estatística, pertencente a 12 mil 884 eleitores de 18 a 19 anos da capital de Puebla, do distrito eleitoral 12; Verificou-se que há um baixo grau de apropriação, os jovens pesquisados ​​não determinam sua percepção da política mexicana a partir da série que visualizam, a mobilidade cognitiva não é, portanto, determinante para este caso do estudo apresentado

  • Medios de comunicación y movilidad cognitiva: series políticas en streaming, Puebla, México 2018
    'Universidad de Medellin', 2020
    Co-Authors: Estrada Rodríguez, José Luis, Pérez Pérez Ketzalcóatl
    Abstract:

    This research work analyzes the influence of television series that are broadcast through streaming platforms in Mexico. The research took a representative sample of 400 young people, who were surveyed to know the impact of these communication products in the construction of their perception, political participation and political culture in the last elections of July 2018. Through a quantitative methodology and the use of the statistical sample, belonging to 12 thousand 884 voters from 18 to 19 years old from the capital of Puebla, from the Electoral District 12; it was found that there is a low degree of appropriation, the young people surveyed do not determine their perception of Mexican politics from the series they visualize, cognitive mobility is therefore not determinant for this case of the study presented.Este trabalho de pesquisa analisa a influência de séries de televisão que são transmitidas através de plataformas de streaming no México. A pesquisa levou uma amostra representativa de 400 jovens, que foram pesquisados ??para conhecer o impacto desses produtos de comunicação na construção de sua percepção, participação política e cultura política nas últimas eleições de julho de 2018. Através de uma metodologia quantitativa e do uso de a amostra estatística, pertencente a 12 mil 884 eleitores de 18 a 19 anos da capital de Puebla, do distrito eleitoral 12; Verificou-se que há um baixo grau de apropriação, os jovens pesquisados ??não determinam sua percepção da política mexicana a partir da série que visualizam, a mobilidade cognitiva não é, portanto, determinante para este caso do estudo apresentado.Este trabajo de investigación analiza la influencia que tienen las series televisivas que se difunden por medio de las plataformas streaming en México. La investigación tomó una muestra representativa de 400 jóvenes, que fueron encuestados para conocer la incidencia que tienen estos productos comunicativos en la construcción de su percepción, participación política y cultura política en las pasadas elecciones de julio de 2018. Mediante una metodología cuantitativa y el uso de la muestra estadística, perteneciente a 12 mil 884 electores de 18 a 19 años de la capital poblana, del distrito 12 Electoral; se encontró que existe un grado de apropiación bajo, los jóvenes encuestados no determinan su percepción sobre la política mexicana a partir de las series que visualizan, la movilidad cognitiva por tanto no es determinante para este caso del estudio presentado

  • Medios de comunicación y movilidad cognitiva: series políticas en streaming, Puebla, México 2018*
    2020
    Co-Authors: Estrada Rodríguez, José Luis, Pérez Pérez Ketzalcóatl
    Abstract:

    This research work analyzes the influence of television series that are broadcast through streaming platforms in Mexico. The research took a representative sample of 400 young people, who were surveyed to know the impact of these communication products in the construction of their perception, political participation and political culture in the last elections of July 2018. Through a quantitative methodology and the use of the statistical sample, belonging to 12 thousand 884 voters from 18 to 19 years old from the capital of Puebla, from the Electoral District 12; it was found that there is a low degree of appropriation, the young people surveyed do not determine their perception of Mexican politics from the series they visualize, cognitive mobility is therefore not determinant for this case of the study presented.Este trabalho de pesquisa analisa a influência de séries de televisão que são transmitidas através de plataformas de streaming no México. A pesquisa levou uma amostra representativa de 400 jovens, que foram pesquisados ​​para conhecer o impacto desses produtos de comunicação na construção de sua percepção, participação política e cultura política nas últimas eleições de julho de 2018. Através de uma metodologia quantitativa e do uso de a amostra estatística, pertencente a 12 mil 884 eleitores de 18 a 19 anos da capital de Puebla, do distrito eleitoral 12; Verificou-se que há um baixo grau de apropriação, os jovens pesquisados ​​não determinam sua percepção da política mexicana a partir da série que visualizam, a mobilidade cognitiva não é, portanto, determinante para este caso do estudo apresentado.Este trabajo de investigación analiza la influencia que tienen las series televisivas que se difunden por medio de las plataformas streaming en México. La investigación tomó una muestra representativa de 400 jóvenes, que fueron encuestados para conocer la incidencia que tienen estos productos comunicativos en la construcción de su percepción, participación política y cultura política en las pasadas elecciones de julio de 2018. Mediante una metodología cuantitativa y el uso de la muestra estadística, perteneciente a 12 mil 884 electores de 18 a 19 años de la capital poblana, del distrito 12 Electoral; se encontró que existe un grado de apropiación bajo, los jóvenes encuestados no determinan su percepción sobre la política mexicana a partir de las series que visualizan, la movilidad cognitiva por tanto no es determinante para este caso del estudio presentado

Estrada Rodríguez, José Luis - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.

  • Meios de comunicação e mobilidade cognitiva: séries políticas em streaming, Puebla, México 2018
    'Universidad de Medellin', 2020
    Co-Authors: Estrada Rodríguez, José Luis, Pérez Pérez Ketzalcóatl
    Abstract:

    This research work analyzes the influence of television series that are broadcast through streaming platforms in Mexico. The research took a representative sample of 400 young people, who were surveyed to know the impact of these communication products in the construction of their perception, political participation and political culture in the last elections of July 2018. Through a quantitative methodology and the use of the statistical sample, belonging to 12 thousand 884 voters from 18 to 19 years old from the capital of Puebla, from the Electoral District 12; it was found that there is a low degree of appropriation, the young people surveyed do not determine their perception of Mexican politics from the series they visualize, cognitive mobility is therefore not determinant for this case of the study presented.Este trabajo de investigación analiza la influencia que tienen las series televisivas que se difunden por medio de las plataformas streaming en México. La investigación tomó una muestra representativa de 400 jóvenes, que fueron encuestados para conocer la incidencia que tienen estos productos comunicativos en la construcción de su percepción, participación política y cultura política en las pasadas elecciones de julio de 2018. Mediante una metodología cuantitativa y el uso de la muestra estadística, perteneciente a 12 mil 884 electores de 18 a 19 años de la capital poblana, del distrito 12 Electoral; se encontró que existe un grado de apropiación bajo, los jóvenes encuestados no determinan su percepción sobre la política mexicana a partir de las series que visualizan, la movilidad cognitiva por tanto no es determinante para este caso del estudio presentado.Este trabalho de pesquisa analisa a influência de séries de televisão que são transmitidas através de plataformas de streaming no México. A pesquisa levou uma amostra representativa de 400 jovens, que foram pesquisados ​​para conhecer o impacto desses produtos de comunicação na construção de sua percepção, participação política e cultura política nas últimas eleições de julho de 2018. Através de uma metodologia quantitativa e do uso de a amostra estatística, pertencente a 12 mil 884 eleitores de 18 a 19 anos da capital de Puebla, do distrito eleitoral 12; Verificou-se que há um baixo grau de apropriação, os jovens pesquisados ​​não determinam sua percepção da política mexicana a partir da série que visualizam, a mobilidade cognitiva não é, portanto, determinante para este caso do estudo apresentado

  • Medios de comunicación y movilidad cognitiva: series políticas en streaming, Puebla, México 2018
    'Universidad de Medellin', 2020
    Co-Authors: Estrada Rodríguez, José Luis, Pérez Pérez Ketzalcóatl
    Abstract:

    This research work analyzes the influence of television series that are broadcast through streaming platforms in Mexico. The research took a representative sample of 400 young people, who were surveyed to know the impact of these communication products in the construction of their perception, political participation and political culture in the last elections of July 2018. Through a quantitative methodology and the use of the statistical sample, belonging to 12 thousand 884 voters from 18 to 19 years old from the capital of Puebla, from the Electoral District 12; it was found that there is a low degree of appropriation, the young people surveyed do not determine their perception of Mexican politics from the series they visualize, cognitive mobility is therefore not determinant for this case of the study presented.Este trabalho de pesquisa analisa a influência de séries de televisão que são transmitidas através de plataformas de streaming no México. A pesquisa levou uma amostra representativa de 400 jovens, que foram pesquisados ??para conhecer o impacto desses produtos de comunicação na construção de sua percepção, participação política e cultura política nas últimas eleições de julho de 2018. Através de uma metodologia quantitativa e do uso de a amostra estatística, pertencente a 12 mil 884 eleitores de 18 a 19 anos da capital de Puebla, do distrito eleitoral 12; Verificou-se que há um baixo grau de apropriação, os jovens pesquisados ??não determinam sua percepção da política mexicana a partir da série que visualizam, a mobilidade cognitiva não é, portanto, determinante para este caso do estudo apresentado.Este trabajo de investigación analiza la influencia que tienen las series televisivas que se difunden por medio de las plataformas streaming en México. La investigación tomó una muestra representativa de 400 jóvenes, que fueron encuestados para conocer la incidencia que tienen estos productos comunicativos en la construcción de su percepción, participación política y cultura política en las pasadas elecciones de julio de 2018. Mediante una metodología cuantitativa y el uso de la muestra estadística, perteneciente a 12 mil 884 electores de 18 a 19 años de la capital poblana, del distrito 12 Electoral; se encontró que existe un grado de apropiación bajo, los jóvenes encuestados no determinan su percepción sobre la política mexicana a partir de las series que visualizan, la movilidad cognitiva por tanto no es determinante para este caso del estudio presentado

  • Medios de comunicación y movilidad cognitiva: series políticas en streaming, Puebla, México 2018*
    2020
    Co-Authors: Estrada Rodríguez, José Luis, Pérez Pérez Ketzalcóatl
    Abstract:

    This research work analyzes the influence of television series that are broadcast through streaming platforms in Mexico. The research took a representative sample of 400 young people, who were surveyed to know the impact of these communication products in the construction of their perception, political participation and political culture in the last elections of July 2018. Through a quantitative methodology and the use of the statistical sample, belonging to 12 thousand 884 voters from 18 to 19 years old from the capital of Puebla, from the Electoral District 12; it was found that there is a low degree of appropriation, the young people surveyed do not determine their perception of Mexican politics from the series they visualize, cognitive mobility is therefore not determinant for this case of the study presented.Este trabalho de pesquisa analisa a influência de séries de televisão que são transmitidas através de plataformas de streaming no México. A pesquisa levou uma amostra representativa de 400 jovens, que foram pesquisados ​​para conhecer o impacto desses produtos de comunicação na construção de sua percepção, participação política e cultura política nas últimas eleições de julho de 2018. Através de uma metodologia quantitativa e do uso de a amostra estatística, pertencente a 12 mil 884 eleitores de 18 a 19 anos da capital de Puebla, do distrito eleitoral 12; Verificou-se que há um baixo grau de apropriação, os jovens pesquisados ​​não determinam sua percepção da política mexicana a partir da série que visualizam, a mobilidade cognitiva não é, portanto, determinante para este caso do estudo apresentado.Este trabajo de investigación analiza la influencia que tienen las series televisivas que se difunden por medio de las plataformas streaming en México. La investigación tomó una muestra representativa de 400 jóvenes, que fueron encuestados para conocer la incidencia que tienen estos productos comunicativos en la construcción de su percepción, participación política y cultura política en las pasadas elecciones de julio de 2018. Mediante una metodología cuantitativa y el uso de la muestra estadística, perteneciente a 12 mil 884 electores de 18 a 19 años de la capital poblana, del distrito 12 Electoral; se encontró que existe un grado de apropiación bajo, los jóvenes encuestados no determinan su percepción sobre la política mexicana a partir de las series que visualizan, la movilidad cognitiva por tanto no es determinante para este caso del estudio presentado

Baiôa Manuel - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.

  • As eleições legislativas de 1925 no Alentejo / The 1925 legislative elections in the Electoral constituencies of the Alentejo (Portugal)
    Universidade Lusíada, 2020
    Co-Authors: Baiôa Manuel
    Abstract:

    This study focuses on the 1925 legislative elections that took place in the six Electoral District of the Alentejo (Portugal). It addresses topics related to political contextualization, the choice of candidates for deputies, the Electoral campaign, clientelism, Electoral fraud and agreements. It also presents a review of the Electoral results of the Alentejo, moving away from the numbers followed by Portuguese historiography

  • As eleições legislativas de 1925 no Alentejo
    Universidade Lusíada, 2020
    Co-Authors: Baiôa Manuel
    Abstract:

    Resumo: O presente estudo incide sobre as eleições legislativas de 1925 ocorridas nos seis círculos eleitorais do Alentejo. Aborda os tópicos referentes à contextualização política, à escolha dos candidatos a deputados, a campanha eleitoral, o clientelismo, os acordos e as fraudes eleitorais. Apresenta ainda uma revisão dos resultados eleitorais do Alentejo, demarcando-se dos números seguidos pela historiografia portuguesa. Abstract: This study focuses on the 1925 legislative elections that took place in the six Electoral District of the Alentejo (Portugal). It addresses topics related to political contextualization, the choice of candidates for deputies, the Electoral campaign, clientelism, Electoral fraud and agreements. It also presents a review of the Electoral results of the Alentejo, moving away from the numbers followed by Portuguese historiography

Matteo Piolatto - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.

  • Perché Il Movimento 5 Stelle non ha sfondato a Milano? Un’analisi strutturale a scala metropolitana
    Meridiana, 2020
    Co-Authors: Niccolo Morelli, Jonathan Pratschke, Tommaso Vitale, Bruno Cousin, Matteo Del Fabbro, Matteo Piolatto
    Abstract:

    In the aftermath of the 2018 general election results, several scholars have remarked on the inability of the Five Star Movement to increase its vote in Milan. While the role of demographic and socio-economic factors has been highlighted, little attention has been dedicated to understanding the complex role of spatial dynamics. This paper aims to contribute to the existing literature by inquiring about the relationship between support for the Five Star Movement and the characteristics of urban space in Milan. Following the longstanding debate in urban sociology, we recognise the importance of investigating this question beyond the borders of the central municipality. We overcome the problematic nature of standard approaches by analysing the entire Functional Urban Area of Milan as defined by the Oecd, using a new set of areas. Adopting an ecological approach, we define our spatial units in such a way that they have a sociological meaning and embrace the characteristics of the local population which actually voted at a specific polling station. We regress support for the Five Star Movement in each Electoral District on a range of demographic, socio-economic and spatial variables. The results show that more disadvantaged Districts beyond Milan’s municipal borders have a strong propensity towards supporting the Five Star Movement. Many of these areas were negatively affected by the economic crisis of 2008 and continue to experience severe difficulties. They are not places of extreme marginality, but may be described as «disenfranchised» areas with many unsatisfied needs that are largely ignored by the traditional parties.

  • Perch\ue9 Il Movimento 5 Stelle Non Ha Sfondato a Milano? Un\u2019Analisi Strutturale a Scala Metropolitana
    'JSTOR', 2019
    Co-Authors: Niccol\uf2 Morelli, Jonathan Pratschke, Tommaso Vitale, Bruno Cousin, Matteo Del Fabbro, Matteo Piolatto
    Abstract:

    In the aftermath of the 2018 general election results, several scholars have remarked on the inability of the Five Star Movement to increase its vote in Milan. While the role of demographic and socio-economic factors has been highlighted, little attention has been dedicated to understanding the complex role of spatial dynamics. This paper aims to contribute to the existing literature by inquiring about the relationship between support for the Five Star Movement and the characteristics of urban space in Milan. Following the longstanding debate in urban sociology, we recognise the importance of investigating this question beyond the borders of the central municipality. We overcome the problematic nature of standard approaches by analysing the entire Functional Urban Area of Milan as defined by the Oecd, using a new set of areas. Adopting an ecological approach, we define our spatial units in such a way that they have a sociological meaning and embrace the characteristics of the local population which actually voted at a specific polling station. We regress support for the Five Star Movement in each Electoral District on a range of demographic, socio-economic and spatial variables. The results show that more disadvantaged Districts beyond Milan\u2019s municipal borders have a strong propensity towards supporting the Five Star Movement. Many of these areas were negatively affected by the economic crisis of 2008 and continue to experience severe difficulties. They are not places of extreme marginality, but may be described as \uabdisenfranchised\ubb areas with many unsatisfied needs that are largely ignored by the traditional parties