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Mark Bolinger - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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balancing cost and risk the treatment of renewable energy in western utility Resource plans
The Electricity Journal, 2006Co-Authors: Ryan Wiser, Mark BolingerAbstract:Markets for renewable energy have historically been motivated by policy efforts, but a less widely recognized driver is poised to also play a major role in the coming years: utility Integrated Resource Planning. A review of the Planning efforts of 12 western utilities reveals that Resource plans are becoming increasingly sophisticated in their treatment of renewable Resources and the costs and risks that they both entail and mitigate. However, further improvements are possible.
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Utility Integrated Resource Planning: An Emerging Driver of New Renewable Generation in the Western United States
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, 2005Co-Authors: Mark Bolinger, Ryan WiserAbstract:Utility Integrated Resource Planning: An Emerging Driver of New Renewable Generation in the Western United States Mark Bolinger and Ryan Wiser Mark Bolinger is a Staff Research Associate, and Ryan Wiser is a Scientist, in the Electricity Markets and Policy Group at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory in Berkeley, California. The work described in this article was funded by the Assistant Secretary of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (Office of Planning, Budget & Analysis and Wind & Hydropower Technologies Program) and by the Office of Electricity Delivery and Energy Reliability (Electric Markets Technical Assistance Program) of the U.S. Department of Energy under Contract No. DE-AC02-05CH11231. Introduction In the United States, markets for renewable generation – especially wind power – have grown substantially in recent years. This growth is typically attributed to technology improvements and resulting cost reductions, the availability of federal tax incentives, and aggressive state policy efforts. But another less widely recognized driver of new renewable generation is poised to play a major role in the coming years: utility Integrated Resource Planning (IRP). Common in the late-1980s to mid-1990s, but relegated to lesser importance as many states took steps to restructure their electricity markets in the late-1990s, IRP has re-emerged in recent years as an important tool for utilities and regulators, particularly in regions such as the western United States, where retail competition has failed to take root. As practiced in the United States, IRP is a formal process by which utilities analyze the costs, benefits, and risks of all Resources available to them – both supply- and demand-side – with the ultimate goal of identifying a portfolio of Resources that meets their future needs at lowest cost and/or risk. Though the content of any specific utility IRP is unique, all are built on a common basic framework: • development of peak demand and load forecasts; • assessment of how these forecasts compare to existing and committed generation Resources; • identification and characterization of various Resource portfolios as candidates to fill a projected Resource deficiency; • analysis of these different “candidate” Resource portfolios under base-case and alternative future scenarios; and finally, • selection of a preferred portfolio, and creation of a near-term action plan to begin to move towards that portfolio. Renewable Resources were once rarely considered seriously in utility IRP. In the western United States, however, the most recent Resource plans call for a significant amount of new wind power capacity. These planned additions appear to be motivated by the improved economics of wind power, an emerging understanding that wind integration costs are manageable, and a growing acceptance of wind by electric utilities. Equally important, utility IRPs are increasingly recognizing the inherent risks in fossil-based generation portfolios – especially natural gas price
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Utility Integrated Resource Planning: An emerging driver of new renewable generation in the western United States
Refocus, 2005Co-Authors: Mark Bolinger, Ryan WiserAbstract:In the United States, markets for renewable energy generation - especially wind power - have grown substantially in recent years. This growth is typically attributed to technology improvements and resulting cost reductions, the availability of federal tax incentives, and aggressive state policy efforts. But another less widely recognized driver of new renewable generation is poised to play a major role in the coming years: utility Integrated Resource Planning (IRP). Mark Bolinger and Ryan Wiser, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory report.
Ryan Wiser - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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balancing cost and risk the treatment of renewable energy in western utility Resource plans
The Electricity Journal, 2006Co-Authors: Ryan Wiser, Mark BolingerAbstract:Markets for renewable energy have historically been motivated by policy efforts, but a less widely recognized driver is poised to also play a major role in the coming years: utility Integrated Resource Planning. A review of the Planning efforts of 12 western utilities reveals that Resource plans are becoming increasingly sophisticated in their treatment of renewable Resources and the costs and risks that they both entail and mitigate. However, further improvements are possible.
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Utility Integrated Resource Planning: An Emerging Driver of New Renewable Generation in the Western United States
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, 2005Co-Authors: Mark Bolinger, Ryan WiserAbstract:Utility Integrated Resource Planning: An Emerging Driver of New Renewable Generation in the Western United States Mark Bolinger and Ryan Wiser Mark Bolinger is a Staff Research Associate, and Ryan Wiser is a Scientist, in the Electricity Markets and Policy Group at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory in Berkeley, California. The work described in this article was funded by the Assistant Secretary of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (Office of Planning, Budget & Analysis and Wind & Hydropower Technologies Program) and by the Office of Electricity Delivery and Energy Reliability (Electric Markets Technical Assistance Program) of the U.S. Department of Energy under Contract No. DE-AC02-05CH11231. Introduction In the United States, markets for renewable generation – especially wind power – have grown substantially in recent years. This growth is typically attributed to technology improvements and resulting cost reductions, the availability of federal tax incentives, and aggressive state policy efforts. But another less widely recognized driver of new renewable generation is poised to play a major role in the coming years: utility Integrated Resource Planning (IRP). Common in the late-1980s to mid-1990s, but relegated to lesser importance as many states took steps to restructure their electricity markets in the late-1990s, IRP has re-emerged in recent years as an important tool for utilities and regulators, particularly in regions such as the western United States, where retail competition has failed to take root. As practiced in the United States, IRP is a formal process by which utilities analyze the costs, benefits, and risks of all Resources available to them – both supply- and demand-side – with the ultimate goal of identifying a portfolio of Resources that meets their future needs at lowest cost and/or risk. Though the content of any specific utility IRP is unique, all are built on a common basic framework: • development of peak demand and load forecasts; • assessment of how these forecasts compare to existing and committed generation Resources; • identification and characterization of various Resource portfolios as candidates to fill a projected Resource deficiency; • analysis of these different “candidate” Resource portfolios under base-case and alternative future scenarios; and finally, • selection of a preferred portfolio, and creation of a near-term action plan to begin to move towards that portfolio. Renewable Resources were once rarely considered seriously in utility IRP. In the western United States, however, the most recent Resource plans call for a significant amount of new wind power capacity. These planned additions appear to be motivated by the improved economics of wind power, an emerging understanding that wind integration costs are manageable, and a growing acceptance of wind by electric utilities. Equally important, utility IRPs are increasingly recognizing the inherent risks in fossil-based generation portfolios – especially natural gas price
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Utility Integrated Resource Planning: An emerging driver of new renewable generation in the western United States
Refocus, 2005Co-Authors: Mark Bolinger, Ryan WiserAbstract:In the United States, markets for renewable energy generation - especially wind power - have grown substantially in recent years. This growth is typically attributed to technology improvements and resulting cost reductions, the availability of federal tax incentives, and aggressive state policy efforts. But another less widely recognized driver of new renewable generation is poised to play a major role in the coming years: utility Integrated Resource Planning (IRP). Mark Bolinger and Ryan Wiser, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory report.
Charles O.p. Marpaung - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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Integrated Resource Planning in the power sector and economy-wide changes in environmental emissions
Energy Policy, 2006Co-Authors: Ram M. Shrestha, Charles O.p. MarpaungAbstract:Abstract This paper analyzes the roles of key factors (i.e., changes in structure, fuel mix and final demand) on total economy-wide changes in CO 2 , SO 2 and NO x emissions when power sector development follows the Integrated Resource Planning (IRP) approach instead of traditional supply-based electricity Planning (TEP). It also considers the rebound effect (RE) of energy efficiency improvements in the demand side and analyzes the sensitivity of the results to variations in the values of the RE. A framework is developed to decompose the total economy-wide change in the emission of a pollutant into four major components, i.e., structural change-, fuel mix- , final demand- and joint-effects. The final demand effect is further decomposed into three categories, i.e., construction of power plants, electricity final demand and final demand related to electricity using equipments. The factor decomposition framework is then applied in the case of the power sector in Indonesia. A key finding in the case of Indonesia is that in the absence of the RE, there would be total economy-wide reductions in CO 2 , SO 2 and NO x emissions of 431, 1.6 and 1.3 million tons respectively during the Planning horizon of 2006–2025 under IRP as compared to that under TEP. The decomposition analysis shows that the final demand effect would account for 38% of the total CO 2 emission reduction followed by the structural change effect (35.1%) and fuel mix effect (27.6%) while the joint effect is negligible. The study also shows that economy-wide CO 2 emission reduction due to IRP considering the RE of 45% would be 241 million tons as compared to 333 million tons when the RE is 25%.
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Supply- and demand-side effects of carbon tax in the Indonesian power sector : an Integrated Resource Planning analysis
Energy Policy, 1999Co-Authors: Ram M. Shrestha, Charles O.p. MarpaungAbstract:This study examines the implications of carbon tax for power sector development, demand-side management programs and environmental emissions in the case of Indonesia from a long-term Integrated Resource Planning perspective. Introduction of carbon tax is found to result in improvements of system load factor, system reliability and overall efficiency of thermal power generation while the capacity utilization factor deteriorated. At low tax rates, CO2 mitigation due to changes in electricity price is found to be higher than that due to technological substitution and fuel switching while the opposite was the case at medium and high tax rates. It is also found that tax revenue need not always increase with carbon tax.
Bundit Limmeechokchai - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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Integrated Resource Planning for Long-term Electricity Supply in Selected GMS Countries, Part 2: Environmental and Economic Impacts
Energy Sources Part B: Economics Planning and Policy, 2015Co-Authors: Kong Pagnarith, Bundit LimmeechokchaiAbstract:This research article presents the potential of Integrated Resource Planning (IRP) options for long term electricity supply in selected Greater Mekong Subregion (GMS) countries, namely Cambodia, Laos, Thailand, and Vietnam. Results from Part 1 show the achievement of the IRP context in GMS. The mitigation scenario would improve the quality of electricity supply and mitigate CO2 emissions from the power sector. At the same time, the renewable energy (RE) scenario has the highest total generation cost. However, to make the renewable energy technologies competitive with fossil fuels, incentives in terms of carbon credit are taken into account. Results of this study were analyzed by using the Long-range Energy Alternative Planning system model. Results reveal that under the IRP concept, the selected GMS countries could mitigate CO2 emissions by about 61.16 million tonnes when compared to the business as usual (BAU) scenario by 2030. In the meantime, under incentive cost in the RE scenario, the total generatio...
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Integrated Resource Planning for Long-term Electricity Supply in Selected GMS Countries, Part 1:Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy
Energy Sources Part B: Economics Planning and Policy, 2014Co-Authors: Kong Pagnarith, Bundit LimmeechokchaiAbstract:The scarcity of fossil fuel to supply the high growth in energy demand in the selected Greater Mekong Subregion (GMS) is leading to the concern about future electricity supply. The effect of the high fossil fuel price on the global market would lead to limitation in economic development in this region. In 2007, most countries in the selected GMS, namely Cambodia, Laos, Thailand, and Vietnam, used abundant fossil fuels in electricity generation. Fossil fuels used in power generation accounted for 90%, 85%, 60%, and 1.5% in Cambodia, Thailand, Vietnam, and Laos, respectively. This study includes the Integrated Resource Planning (IRP) concept into the long-term power Planning. IRP is the most appropriate approach that applied to both demand and supply sides. To curb the high growth in electricity demand, the demand-side management options are taken into account. To reduce the high dependency on imported fossil fuel, the domestic renewable energy Resources and reduction in transmission and distribution losses...
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Integrated Resource Planning with Carbon Tax: Effects on Power Generation Expansion Planning in Vietnam
Thammasat International Journal of Science and Technology, 2003Co-Authors: Bundit Limmeechokchai, Nguyen Duc HieuAbstract:This paper examines the supply-side and demand-side effects of carbon tax on power generation expansion Planning and CO2 emissions from the power sector in Vietnam by using a least cost model named Wien Automatic System Planning (WASP) [1]. The electric utility Planning is carried out with both traditional Resource-Planning and Integrated Resource-Planning approaches. In the context of Integrated Resource Planning, the demand side is considered with a replacement of standard lamps by high efficiency lamps. The CO2 emission is calculated by interfuel and emission factors provided by the Intergovernmental on Climate Change (IPCC). Recently, demand-side management has high potential in Vietnam and plays an important role in the power generation expansion Planning. In the case of Vietnam, this study finds that carbon tax would remarkably reduce CO2 emission at a tax level of US$ 50 per ton of carbon and higher due to a shift from coal to gas and nuclear called the substitution effect. The low carbon tax levels would not much reduce CO2 emission. The demand-side effect is not considerable due to a low price elasticity of electricity demand in Vietnam.
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Application of cool storage air-conditioning in the commercial sector: an Integrated Resource Planning approach for power capacity expansion Planning and emission reduction
Applied Energy, 2001Co-Authors: Bundit Limmeechokchai, Supachart ChungpaibulpatanaAbstract:An assessment is presented of the evaluation of the application of cool storage air-conditioning (CSA) in the commercial sector as a Resource in the electricity generation expansion Planning. The resultant impacts of analysis of emission costs on annual emissions from power generation are also discussed. A building energy simulation tool is used for assessment of potential savings and peak load shifting of CSA application in commercial buildings. In this study, an Integrated Resource Planning (IRP) model is used to evaluate the economic effectiveness of the CSA option. The IRP analysis with emission costs results in deferring the installation of four units of 1000-MW coal-fired power plant from 2010 to 2011, and one unit of 1000-MW coal-fired power plant and one 200-MW CSA option are removed from the IRP plan. Results show that the CSA option is a viable Resource in the least-cost Planning and reducing environmental emissions.
Shimon Awerbuch - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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The surprising role of risk in utility Integrated Resource Planning
The Electricity Journal, 1993Co-Authors: Shimon AwerbuchAbstract:Abstract Integrated Resource Planning, as currently practiced, has a fatal flaw: the revenue-requirements method of evaluating new capacity options improperly ignores risk features. When risk is properly accounted for, the cost of supposed ‘high-cost’ Resources—photovoltaics, for example—drops dramatically while the cost of supposed ‘low-cost’ Resources like natural gas-fired generation goes up.