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Mathias Drehmann - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.

  • an economic capital model integrating credit and Interest Rate Risk in the banking book
    Journal of Banking and Finance, 2010
    Co-Authors: Piergiorgio Alessandri, Mathias Drehmann
    Abstract:

    Banks often measure credit and Interest Rate Risk in the banking book sepaRately and then add the Risk measures to determine economic capital. This approach misses complex interactions between the two Risk types. We develop a framework where these Risks are analysed jointly. Since banking book positions are generally not marked to market, our model is based on book value accounting. Our simulations show that interactions matter, and that ignoring them leads to Risk overstatement. The magnitude of the errors depends on the structure of the balance sheet and on the repricing characteristics of assets and liabilities.

  • an economic capital model integrating credit and Interest Rate Risk in the banking book
    Research Papers in Economics, 2010
    Co-Authors: Piergiorgio Alessandri, Mathias Drehmann
    Abstract:

    Banks often measure credit and Interest Rate Risk sepaRately and then add the two Risk measures to determine their overall economic capital. This approach misses complex interactions between the two Risks. We develop a framework where credit and Interest Rate Risks are analysed jointly. We focus on a traditional banking book where all positions are held to maturity and subject to book value accounting. Our simulations show that interactions between Risks matter, and that their implications depend on the structure of the balance sheet and on the repricing characteristics of assets and liabilities. The analysis suggests that a joint analysis of Risks can deliver substantially different results relative to a piece-wise approach: Risk integration is challenging but feasible and worthwhile.

  • the integRated impact of credit and Interest Rate Risk on banks a dynamic framework and stress testing application
    Journal of Banking and Finance, 2010
    Co-Authors: Mathias Drehmann, Steffen Sorensen, Marco Stringa
    Abstract:

    Credit and Interest Rate Risk are the two most important Risks faced by commercial banks in their banking book. In this paper we derive a consistent and comprehensive framework to measure the integRated impact of both Risks. By taking account of the repricing characteristics of assets, liabilities and off balance sheet items, we assess the integRated impact of credit and Interest Rate Risk on banks’ economic value and capital adequacy. We then stress test a hypothetical but realistic bank using our framework and show that it is fundamental to measure the impact of credit and Interest Rate Risk jointly.

  • an economic capital model integrating credit and Interest Rate Risk in the banking book
    Social Science Research Network, 2009
    Co-Authors: Piergiorgio Alessandri, Mathias Drehmann
    Abstract:

    Banks typically determine their capital levels by sepaRately analysing credit and Interest Rate Risk, but the interaction between the two is significant and potentially complex. We develop an integRated economic capital model for a banking book where all exposures are held to maturity. Our simulations show that capital is mismeasured if Risk interdependencies are ignored: adding up economic capital against credit and Interest Rate Risk derived sepaRately provides an upper bound relative to the integRated capital level. The magnitude of the difference depends on the structure of the balance sheet and on the repricing characteristics of assets and liabilities.

  • the integRated impact of credit and Interest Rate Risk on banks an economic value and capital adequacy perspective
    Research Papers in Economics, 2008
    Co-Authors: Mathias Drehmann, Steffen Sorensen, Marco Stringa
    Abstract:

    Credit and Interest Rate Risk in the banking book are the two most important Risks faced by commercial banks. In this paper we derive a consistent and general framework to measure the integRated impact of both Risks on banks' portfolios. The framework accounts for all sources of credit Risk and Interest Rate Risk. By modelling the whole portfolio of a bank and by taking account of the repricing characteristics of all exposures, we can assess the impact of credit and Interest Rate Risk not only on the bank's economic value but also on its future earnings and capital adequacy. We apply our framework to a hypothetical bank in normal and stressed conditions. The simulation highlights that it is fundamental to measure the impact of Interest Rate and credit Risk jointly. We also show that it is crucial to model the whole portfolio, including the repricing and maturity characteristics of assets, liabilities and off balance sheet items.

Marco Wilkens - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.

  • Interest Rate Risk of German financial institutions: the impact of level, slope, and curvature of the term structure
    Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 2009
    Co-Authors: Marc-gregor Czaja, Hendrik Scholz, Marco Wilkens
    Abstract:

    We investigate here the sensitivity of the equity values of a large sample of German financial institutions to movements in the term structure of Interest Rates. While similar approaches rely on a single Interest Rate factor only, we quantify the exposure to changes in level, slope, and curvature, which are the driving factors of term structure changes. Our main findings are: (i) banks and insurances are exposed to level and curvature changes but only marginally to slope movements; (ii) the Interest Rate Risk exposure depends on the banking sector investigated; (iii) level and curvature changes are priced in the cross-section of stock returns.

  • Interest Rate Risk of german financial institutions the impact of level slope and curvature of the term structure
    Social Science Research Network, 2008
    Co-Authors: Hendrik Scholz, Marc-gregor Czaja, Marco Wilkens
    Abstract:

    We investigate here the sensitivity of the stock returns of German financial institutions to changes in the shape of the term structure of Interest Rates. The standard approach has been to measure the Interest Rate sensitivity of stock returns by focussing solely on changes in a single Interest Rate factor. We extend this approach to capture the sensitivity to changes in level, slope, and curvature of the term structure. More specifically, we use the parameters of the model by Nelson and Siegel (1987) to fit the term structure, which can be interpreted as the term structure's level, slope, and curvature. Applying multi-factor models, we find the level factor to be the single most important Interest Rate factor explaining stock returns. Nevertheless, neglecting the curvature factor would lead to a significant underestimation of the Interest Rate Risk of financial institutions. The slope factor, on the other hand, has only minor importance for financial institutions. Moreover, we document both time-varying and industry-specific exposure to changes in the shape of the term structure. Finally, in an APT context, we test whether changes in level, slope, and curvature of the term structure are priced factors in the German equity market. We find the level and the curvature factor to be rewarded in the cross-section of expected returns in the German equity market, suggesting that both represent systematic Risk factors.

  • analyzing the Interest Rate Risk of banks using time series of accounting based data evidence from germany
    2008
    Co-Authors: Marco Wilkens, Christoph Memmel, Oliver Entrop, Alexander Zeisler
    Abstract:

    This paper describes the first thorough analysis of the Interest Risk of German banks on an individual bank level. We develop a new method that is based on time series of accountingbased data to quantify the Interest Risk of banks and apply it to analyze the German banking system. We find evidence that our model yields a significantly better fit of banks' internally quantified Interest Rate Risk than a standard approach that relies on one-point-in-time data, and that the Interest Rate Risk differs between banks of different size and banking group. Additionally, we find structural differences between trading book and non-trading book institutions.

Jose Vicente - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.

  • are Interest Rate options important for the assessment of Interest Rate Risk
    Research Papers in Economics, 2009
    Co-Authors: Caio Almeida, Jose Vicente
    Abstract:

    Fixed income options contain substantial information on the price of Interest Rate volatility Risk. In this paper, we ask if those options will provide information related to other moments of the objective distribution of Interest Rates. Based on a dynamic term structure model, we find that Interest Rate options are useful for the identification of Interest Rate quantiles. A three-factor model with stochastic volatility is adopted and its adequacy to estimate Value at Risk of zero coupon bonds is tested. We find significant difference on the quantitative assessment of Risk when options are (or not) included in the estimation process of the dynamic model. Statistical back tests indicate that bond estimated Risk is clearly more adequate when options are adopted, although not yet completely satisfactory.

  • are Interest Rate options important for the assessment of Interest Rate Risk
    Social Science Research Network, 2008
    Co-Authors: Caio Almeida, Jose Vicente
    Abstract:

    Fixed income options contain substantial information on the price of Interest Rate volatility Risk. In this paper, we ask if those options will also provide information related to other moments of the objective distribution of Interest Rates. Based on dynamic term structure models within the class of affine models, we find that Interest Rate options are useful for the identification of Interest Rate quantiles. Two three-factor models are adopted and their adequacy to estimate Value at Risk of zero coupon bonds is tested. We find significant difference on the quantitative assessment of Risk when options are (or not) included in the estimation process of each of these dynamic models. Statistical backtests indicate that bond estimated Risk is clearly more adequate when options are adopted, although not yet completely satisfactory.

Marc-gregor Czaja - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.

  • Interest Rate Risk of German financial institutions: the impact of level, slope, and curvature of the term structure
    Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 2009
    Co-Authors: Marc-gregor Czaja, Hendrik Scholz, Marco Wilkens
    Abstract:

    We investigate here the sensitivity of the equity values of a large sample of German financial institutions to movements in the term structure of Interest Rates. While similar approaches rely on a single Interest Rate factor only, we quantify the exposure to changes in level, slope, and curvature, which are the driving factors of term structure changes. Our main findings are: (i) banks and insurances are exposed to level and curvature changes but only marginally to slope movements; (ii) the Interest Rate Risk exposure depends on the banking sector investigated; (iii) level and curvature changes are priced in the cross-section of stock returns.

  • Interest Rate Risk of german financial institutions the impact of level slope and curvature of the term structure
    Social Science Research Network, 2008
    Co-Authors: Hendrik Scholz, Marc-gregor Czaja, Marco Wilkens
    Abstract:

    We investigate here the sensitivity of the stock returns of German financial institutions to changes in the shape of the term structure of Interest Rates. The standard approach has been to measure the Interest Rate sensitivity of stock returns by focussing solely on changes in a single Interest Rate factor. We extend this approach to capture the sensitivity to changes in level, slope, and curvature of the term structure. More specifically, we use the parameters of the model by Nelson and Siegel (1987) to fit the term structure, which can be interpreted as the term structure's level, slope, and curvature. Applying multi-factor models, we find the level factor to be the single most important Interest Rate factor explaining stock returns. Nevertheless, neglecting the curvature factor would lead to a significant underestimation of the Interest Rate Risk of financial institutions. The slope factor, on the other hand, has only minor importance for financial institutions. Moreover, we document both time-varying and industry-specific exposure to changes in the shape of the term structure. Finally, in an APT context, we test whether changes in level, slope, and curvature of the term structure are priced factors in the German equity market. We find the level and the curvature factor to be rewarded in the cross-section of expected returns in the German equity market, suggesting that both represent systematic Risk factors.

Enzo Scannella - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.