The Experts below are selected from a list of 3921 Experts worldwide ranked by ideXlab platform
Asmadi Saad - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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indonesia palm Oil production without deforestation and peat conversion by 2050
Science of The Total Environment, 2016Co-Authors: Dian Afriyanti, Carolien Kroeze, Asmadi SaadAbstract:Palm Oil is a promising source of cooking Oil and biodiesel. The demand for palm Oil has been increasing worldwide. However, concerns exist surrounding the environmental and socio-economic sustainability of palm Oil production. Indonesia is a major palm Oil Producing Country. We explored scenarios for palm Oil production in Indonesia until 2050, focusing on Sumatra, Kalimantan and Papua. Our scenarios describe possible trends in crude palm Oil production in Indonesia, while considering the demand for cooking Oil and biodiesel, the available land for plantations, production capacity (for crude palm Oil and fresh fruit bunches) and environmentally restricting conditions. We first assessed past developments in palm Oil production. Next, we analysed scenarios for the future. In the past 20years, 95% of the Indonesian Oil palm production area was in Sumatra and Kalimantan and was increasingly cultivated in peatlands. Our scenarios for the future indicate that Indonesia can meet a considerable part of the global and Asian demand for palm Oil, while avoiding further cultivation of peatlands and forest. By 2050, 264-447Mt crude palm Oil may be needed for cooking Oil and biodiesel worldwide. In Indonesia, the area that is potentially suitable for Oil palm is 17 to 26Mha with a potential production rate of 27-38t fresh fruit bunches/ha, yielding 130-176Mt crude palm Oil. Thus Indonesia can meet 39-60% of the international demand. In our scenarios this would be produced in Sumatra (21-26%), Kalimantan (12-16%), and Papua (2%). The potential areas include the current Oil palm plantation in mineral lands, but exclude the current Oil palm plantations in peatlands.
Bernard Njindan Iyke - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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real output and Oil price uncertainty in an Oil Producing Country
Buletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan, 2019Co-Authors: Bernard Njindan IykeAbstract:We assess the effects of Oil price uncertainty on Nigeria’s real output from the first quarter of 1980 to the first quarter of 2019. We achieve this objective by decomposing Oil price uncertainty into positive and negative uncertainties. We then quantify the responses of output to these uncertainties. Using the conditional variance of real returns in composite refiners’ acquisition cost of crude Oil as our measure of Oil price uncertainty, we find that positive uncertainty leads to a decline in output, whereas negative uncertainty leads to a rise in output. The response of output to these uncertainties is asymmetric.
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Real Output and Oil Price Uncertainty: Evidence from an Oil Producing Country
2016Co-Authors: Bernard Njindan IykeAbstract:Sudden changes in Oil prices have been a major concern for countries – Oil Producing and non-Oil Producing countries alike. Due to this, we assessed the effects of such an uncertainty on the real output of Nigeria, an Oil Producing Country, during the period 1980:1 to 2014:4. We achieved this objective by using a bivariate GARCH-in-mean VAR model that allows for an uncertainty measure. We then quantified the responses of real output to positive and negative real Oil price shocks. Using the conditional standard deviation of the forecast revision of the growth in the composite refiners’ acquisition cost of crude Oil deflated by US GDP deflator as our measure of Oil price uncertainty, we found that uncertainty about Oil prices exerted negative and significant impact on the real output of Nigeria. In addition, real output responded to positive and negative shocks to real Oil prices symmetrically.
Dian Afriyanti - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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indonesia palm Oil production without deforestation and peat conversion by 2050
Science of The Total Environment, 2016Co-Authors: Dian Afriyanti, Carolien Kroeze, Asmadi SaadAbstract:Palm Oil is a promising source of cooking Oil and biodiesel. The demand for palm Oil has been increasing worldwide. However, concerns exist surrounding the environmental and socio-economic sustainability of palm Oil production. Indonesia is a major palm Oil Producing Country. We explored scenarios for palm Oil production in Indonesia until 2050, focusing on Sumatra, Kalimantan and Papua. Our scenarios describe possible trends in crude palm Oil production in Indonesia, while considering the demand for cooking Oil and biodiesel, the available land for plantations, production capacity (for crude palm Oil and fresh fruit bunches) and environmentally restricting conditions. We first assessed past developments in palm Oil production. Next, we analysed scenarios for the future. In the past 20years, 95% of the Indonesian Oil palm production area was in Sumatra and Kalimantan and was increasingly cultivated in peatlands. Our scenarios for the future indicate that Indonesia can meet a considerable part of the global and Asian demand for palm Oil, while avoiding further cultivation of peatlands and forest. By 2050, 264-447Mt crude palm Oil may be needed for cooking Oil and biodiesel worldwide. In Indonesia, the area that is potentially suitable for Oil palm is 17 to 26Mha with a potential production rate of 27-38t fresh fruit bunches/ha, yielding 130-176Mt crude palm Oil. Thus Indonesia can meet 39-60% of the international demand. In our scenarios this would be produced in Sumatra (21-26%), Kalimantan (12-16%), and Papua (2%). The potential areas include the current Oil palm plantation in mineral lands, but exclude the current Oil palm plantations in peatlands.
Giuseppe Ioppolo - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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environmental impacts of olive Oil production a life cycle assessment case study in the province of messina sicily
Journal of Cleaner Production, 2012Co-Authors: Roberta Salomone, Giuseppe IoppoloAbstract:Abstract The olive Oil industry is a significant productive sector in the European Union; indeed, three quarters of world production is concentrated in Europe. After Spain, Italy is the second largest olive Oil Producing Country (27% and 20% of European and world production respectively) and Sicily is the third most important olive Oil Producing region in Italy (8% of Italian production) after Puglia and Calabria which account for almost 70% of national production. In Sicily, the province of Messina occupies sixth place in regional production and production is characterized by eight predominant cultivars (with different nutritional, organoleptic and productivity characteristics) and a variety of different practices and techniques for the agricultural production of olives and for their processing into olive Oil. Depending on these differences, the production of olive Oil is associated with several adverse effects on the environment, both in the agricultural and olive Oil production phases. The aim of this paper is to provide useful information for taking strategic decisions aimed at the improvement and optimization of the local olive Oil production chain in the province of Messina. To this purpose the LCA methodology has been used to determine the potential environmental impacts of activities connected to olive Oil production in the province, in order to identify the processes which give rise to the most significant environmental problems and to design a more efficient and environmentally friendly local olive Oil chain. Data on the various agricultural and industrial methods used in the province were obtained through the development of a questionnaire, then distributed to a sample of companies of the local association of Oil producers (APOM). The study is part of the Eco-Management for Food - EMAF - Project (PRIN 2008 No. 2008TXFBYT - http://ww2.unime.it/emaf ) co-funded by the Italian Ministry of Education, University and Research (MIUR).
Michael Dittmar - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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regional Oil extraction and consumption a simple production model for the next 35 years part i
BioPhysical Economics and Resource Quality, 2016Co-Authors: Michael DittmarAbstract:The growing conflicts in and about Oil-exporting regions and speculations about volatile Oil prices during the last decade have renewed the public interest in predictions for the near future Oil production and consumption. Unfortunately, studies from only 10 years ago, which tried to forecast the Oil production during the next 20–30 years, failed to make accurate predictions for today’s global Oil production and consumption. Forecasts using economic growth scenarios overestimated the actual Oil-equivalent liquid production, while models which tried to estimate the maximum future conventional and unconventional Oil production/year, using official and public Country reserve data and/or private Oil industry Oil reserve databases, often underestimated the current conventional Oil production in some larger Oil-Producing countries. In this paper, a new approach to model the maximal future regional and thus global Oil production (part I) and the consequences for the regional Oil consumption (part II) during the next decades is proposed. Our analysis of the regional Oil production data during past decades shows that, in contrast to periods when production was growing and growth rates varied greatly from one Country to another, remarkable similarities are found during the plateau and decline periods of different countries. As a result, we propose to model the Oil production decline phase in all Oil-Producing regions with a universal decline function which assumes that a few years with a stable production will be followed by about 5 years with a 3 %/year decline and 6 %/year afterwards. This plateau and decline function was found to describe accurately the Oil production of the past 15 years from Western Europe (EU+Norway), Mexico and Indonesia. Following this model, the particular production phase of each major Oil-Producing Country and region is determined essentially only from the recent past Oil production data. Accordingly, we find that the conventional Oil production in all regions, outside of the Middle East OPEC countries, will start the 3 %/year decline phase between the years 2015 and 2020. Using these data, the model is then used to predict the production from all major Oil-Producing countries, regions and continents up to the year 2050. The limited regional and global potential to compensate this decline with unconventional Oil and Oil-equivalents is also presented.
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regional Oil extraction and consumption a simple production model for the next 35 years part i
Research Papers in Economics, 2016Co-Authors: Michael DittmarAbstract:The growing conflicts in and about Oil exporting regions and speculations about volatile Oil prices during the last decade have renewed the public interest in predictions for the near future Oil production and consumption. Unfortunately, studies from only 10 years ago, which tried to forecast the Oil production during the next 20-30 years, failed to make accurate predictions for today's global Oil production and consumption. Forecasts using economic growth scenarios, overestimated the actual Oil production, while models which tried to estimate the maximum future Oil production/year, using the official Country Oil reserve data, predicted a too low production. In this paper, a new approach to model the maximal future regional and thus global Oil production (part I) and consumption (part II) during the next decades is proposed. Our analysis of the regional Oil production data during past decades shows that, in contrast to periods when production was growing and growth rates varied greatly from one Country to another, remarkable similarities are found during the plateau and decline periods of different countries. Following this model, the particular production phase of each major Oil Producing Country and region is determined essentially only from the recent past Oil production data. Using these data, the model is then used to predict the production from all major Oil Producing countries, regions and continents up to the year 2050. The limited regional and global potential to compensate this decline with unconventional Oil and Oil-equivalents is also presented.
