Probability Distribution

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Federico Milano - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.

  • data based continuous wind speed models with arbitrary Probability Distribution and autocorrelation
    Renewable Energy, 2019
    Co-Authors: Guðrun Margret Jonsdottir, Federico Milano
    Abstract:

    Abstract The paper presents a systematic method to build dynamic stochastic models from wind speed measurement data. The resulting models fit any Probability Distribution and any autocorrelation that can be approximated through a weighted sum of decaying exponential and/or damped sinusoidal functions. The proposed method is tested by means of real-world wind speed measurement data with sampling rates ranging from seconds to hours. The statistical properties of the wind speed time series and the synthetic stochastic processes generated with the Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE)-based models are compared. Results indicate that the proposed method is simple to implement, robust and can accurately capture simultaneously the autocorrelation and Probability Distribution of wind speed measurement data.

Guðrun Margret Jonsdottir - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.

  • data based continuous wind speed models with arbitrary Probability Distribution and autocorrelation
    Renewable Energy, 2019
    Co-Authors: Guðrun Margret Jonsdottir, Federico Milano
    Abstract:

    Abstract The paper presents a systematic method to build dynamic stochastic models from wind speed measurement data. The resulting models fit any Probability Distribution and any autocorrelation that can be approximated through a weighted sum of decaying exponential and/or damped sinusoidal functions. The proposed method is tested by means of real-world wind speed measurement data with sampling rates ranging from seconds to hours. The statistical properties of the wind speed time series and the synthetic stochastic processes generated with the Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE)-based models are compared. Results indicate that the proposed method is simple to implement, robust and can accurately capture simultaneously the autocorrelation and Probability Distribution of wind speed measurement data.

Kenji Morita - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.

  • criticality of the net baryon number Probability Distribution at finite density
    Physics Letters B, 2015
    Co-Authors: Kenji Morita, Bengt Friman, K Redlich
    Abstract:

    Abstract We compute the Probability Distribution P ( N ) of the net-baryon number at finite temperature and quark-chemical potential, μ , at a physical value of the pion mass in the quark-meson model within the functional renormalization group scheme. For μ / T 1 , the model exhibits the chiral crossover transition which belongs to the universality class of the O ( 4 ) spin system in three dimensions. We explore the influence of the chiral crossover transition on the properties of the net baryon number Probability Distribution, P ( N ) . By considering ratios of P ( N ) to the Skellam function, with the same mean and variance, we unravel the characteristic features of the Distribution that are related to O ( 4 ) criticality at the chiral crossover transition. We explore the corresponding ratios for data obtained at RHIC by the STAR Collaboration and discuss their implications. We also examine O ( 4 ) criticality in the context of binomial and negative-binomial Distributions for the net proton number.

  • net baryon number Probability Distribution near the chiral phase transition
    European Physical Journal C, 2014
    Co-Authors: Kenji Morita, Bengt Friman, Vladimir Skokov, Krzysztof Redlich
    Abstract:

    We discuss the properties of the net baryon number Probability Distribution near the chiral phase transition to explore the effect of critical fluctuations. Our studies are performed within Landau theory, where the coefficients of the polynomial potential are parametrized, so as to reproduce the mean-field (MF), the \(Z(2)\), and the \(O(4)\) scaling behaviors of the cumulants of the net baryon number. We show that in the critical region the structure of the Probability Distribution changes, depending on the values of the critical exponents. In the MF approach, as well as in the \(Z(2)\) universality class, the contribution of the singular part of the thermodynamic potential tends to broaden the Distribution. By contrast, in the model with \(O(4)\) scaling, the contribution of the singular part results in a narrower net baryon number Probability Distribution with a wide tail.

  • net quark number Probability Distribution near the chiral crossover transition
    Physical Review C, 2013
    Co-Authors: Kenji Morita, Bengt Friman, Krzysztof Redlich, Vladimir Skokov
    Abstract:

    We investigate properties of the Probability Distribution of the net quark number near the chiral crossover transition in the quark-meson model. The calculations are performed within the functional renormalization group approach, as well as in the mean-field approximation. We find, that there is a substantial influence of the underlying chiral phase transition on the properties of the Probability Distribution. In particular, for a physical pion mass, the Distribution which includes the effect of mesonic fluctuations, differs considerably from both, the mean-field and Skellam Distributions. The latter is considered as a reference for a non-critical behavior. A characteristic feature of the net quark number Probability Distribution is that, in the vicinity of the chiral crossover transition in the O(4) universality class, it is narrower than the corresponding mean-field and Skellam function. We study the volume dependence of the Probability Distribution, as well as the resulting cumulants, and discuss their approximate scaling properties. PACS numbers: 25.75.Nq, 25.75.Gz, 24.60.-k, 12.39.Fe

  • net baryon number Probability Distribution near the chiral phase transition
    arXiv: High Energy Physics - Phenomenology, 2012
    Co-Authors: Kenji Morita, Bengt Friman, Vladimir Skokov, Krzysztof Redlich
    Abstract:

    We discuss properties of the net baryon number Probability Distribution near the chiral phase transition to explore the effect of critical fluctuations. Our studies are performed within Landau theory, where the coefficients of the polynomial potential are parametrized, so as to reproduce the mean-field (MF), the $Z(2)$ and $O(4)$ scaling behaviors of the cumulants of the net baryon number. We show, that in the critical region, the structure of the Probability Distribution changes, dependently on values of the critical exponents. In the MF approach, as well as in the $Z(2)$ universality class, the contribution of the singular part of the thermodynamic potential tends to broaden the Distribution. By contrast, in the model with $O(4)$ scaling, the contribution of the singular part results in a narrower net baryon number Probability Distribution with a wide tail.

Victor M Yakovenko - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.

  • Probability Distribution of returns in the heston model with stochastic volatility
    arXiv: Statistical Mechanics, 2002
    Co-Authors: Adrian Dragulescu, Victor M Yakovenko
    Abstract:

    We study the Heston model, where the stock price dynamics is governed by a geometrical (multiplicative) Brownian motion with stochastic variance. We solve the corresponding Fokker-Planck equation exactly and, after integrating out the variance, find an analytic formula for the time-dependent Probability Distribution of stock price changes (returns). The formula is in excellent agreement with the Dow-Jones index for the time lags from 1 to 250 trading days. For large returns, the Distribution is exponential in log-returns with a time-dependent exponent, whereas for small returns it is Gaussian. For time lags longer than the relaxation time of variance, the Probability Distribution can be expressed in a scaling form using a Bessel function. The Dow-Jones data for 1982-2001 follow the scaling function for seven orders of magnitude.

  • Probability Distribution of returns in the heston model with stochastic volatility
    Computing in Economics and Finance, 2002
    Co-Authors: Adrian Dragulescu, Victor M Yakovenko
    Abstract:

    We study the Heston model, where the stock price dynamics is governed by a geometrical (multiplicative) Brownian motion with stochastic variance. We solve the corresponding Fokker-Planck equation exactly and, after integrating out the variance, find an analytic formula for the time-dependent Probability Distribution of stock price changes (returns). The formula is in excellent agreement with the Dow-Jones index for the time lags from 1 to 250 trading days. For large returns, the Distribution is exponential in log-returns with a time-dependent exponent, whereas for small returns it is Gaussian. For time lags longer than the relaxation time of variance, the Probability Distribution can be expressed in a scaling form using a Bessel function. The Dow-Jones data for 1982-2001 follow the scaling function for seven orders of magnitude. (This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

S. Han - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.

  • The time scale study of wind speed Probability Distribution
    2nd IET Renewable Power Generation Conference (RPG 2013), 2013
    Co-Authors: Y.q. Liu, J.t. Huang, S. Han
    Abstract:

    Across different time scales, Probability Distributions of wind speed are not exactly the same. Annually statistical cycle of wind speed Probability Distribution can not reflect wind variations in different time scales. Based on the fact that wind speed fluctuates with weather patterns, the statistical cycle of Probability Distribution is determined and optimal Probability Distribution model according to the specific time scale are selected by applying power spectrum. The example have illustrated that there are time-scale characteristics in wind speed Probability Distribution; wind speed Probability Distribution in any consecutive sub-period is similar to that in total time period; the validity of power spectrum analysis identifying the simulating time scale is confirmed.