The Experts below are selected from a list of 90651 Experts worldwide ranked by ideXlab platform
Susan L Woodward - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
-
Economic Aid to post conflict countries a methodological critique of collier and hoeffler
Conflict Security & Development, 2005Co-Authors: Astri Suhrke, Espen Villanger, Susan L WoodwardAbstract:In the past five years, research sponsored by the World Bank on the Economic aspects of civil war1 under the research directorship of Oxford economist Paul Collier has had an extraordinary influence on the subsequent study of violent conflict and civil war and on international policy. The research project has now turned its attention to the problem of countries emerging from civil war and what Collier and his co-author, Anke Hoeffler, call ‘a first systematic empirical analysis of Aid and policy reform in the post-conflict growth process.’2 Building on the influence of their earlier research and the lively interest currently in knowledge about and policy on post-conflict strategies, this work is likely to be equally influential on research, thinking, and policy. It is all the more important, therefore, to subject the research to critical examination before it becomes established as conventional wisdom. This note reports one such attempt to analyze some major methodological problems with the study and argu...
-
Economic Aid to post conflict countries a methodological critique of collier and hoeffler
2005Co-Authors: Astri Suhrke, Espen Villanger, Susan L WoodwardAbstract:This paper retests the analysis of "Aid Policy and Growth in Post-Conflict Societies," by Paul Collier and Anke Hoeffler (October 2002 and forthcoming in European Economic Review). It finds that their data and analysis do not support their conclusions and policy recommendations on the optimal timing and amounts of Aid. These conclusions depend on very few observations (13 for the period of peace-onset, 13 for years 4 to 7 when a growth spurt is sAid to make Aid particularly effective, and 8 for the period when Aid should taper off); are vulnerable to the same methodological misspecifications identified in the Burnside and Dollar approach on which this analysis is based; and are not grounded in any theoretical formulation about the special relation between Aid and growth in post-conflict conditions. Conventional econometric procedures are often not followed; recoding the sample to exclude cases that are not civil wars reduces the effect of Aid on growth in post-civil war countries to less than half of what they claim; and the difference with the relationship for "normal" countries becomes negligible (0.26 percentage points), although it depends on identification of the sample. Their claims on the poverty-efficiency of Aid are assumed, not analysed. The confidentiality of their policy measure (CPIA) prevented testing the Aid-policy relationship.
Astri Suhrke - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
-
Economic Aid to post conflict countries a methodological critique of collier and hoeffler
Conflict Security & Development, 2005Co-Authors: Astri Suhrke, Espen Villanger, Susan L WoodwardAbstract:In the past five years, research sponsored by the World Bank on the Economic aspects of civil war1 under the research directorship of Oxford economist Paul Collier has had an extraordinary influence on the subsequent study of violent conflict and civil war and on international policy. The research project has now turned its attention to the problem of countries emerging from civil war and what Collier and his co-author, Anke Hoeffler, call ‘a first systematic empirical analysis of Aid and policy reform in the post-conflict growth process.’2 Building on the influence of their earlier research and the lively interest currently in knowledge about and policy on post-conflict strategies, this work is likely to be equally influential on research, thinking, and policy. It is all the more important, therefore, to subject the research to critical examination before it becomes established as conventional wisdom. This note reports one such attempt to analyze some major methodological problems with the study and argu...
-
Economic Aid to post conflict countries a methodological critique of collier and hoeffler
2005Co-Authors: Astri Suhrke, Espen Villanger, Susan L WoodwardAbstract:This paper retests the analysis of "Aid Policy and Growth in Post-Conflict Societies," by Paul Collier and Anke Hoeffler (October 2002 and forthcoming in European Economic Review). It finds that their data and analysis do not support their conclusions and policy recommendations on the optimal timing and amounts of Aid. These conclusions depend on very few observations (13 for the period of peace-onset, 13 for years 4 to 7 when a growth spurt is sAid to make Aid particularly effective, and 8 for the period when Aid should taper off); are vulnerable to the same methodological misspecifications identified in the Burnside and Dollar approach on which this analysis is based; and are not grounded in any theoretical formulation about the special relation between Aid and growth in post-conflict conditions. Conventional econometric procedures are often not followed; recoding the sample to exclude cases that are not civil wars reduces the effect of Aid on growth in post-civil war countries to less than half of what they claim; and the difference with the relationship for "normal" countries becomes negligible (0.26 percentage points), although it depends on identification of the sample. Their claims on the poverty-efficiency of Aid are assumed, not analysed. The confidentiality of their policy measure (CPIA) prevented testing the Aid-policy relationship.
Christopher Kilby - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
-
changing Aid regimes u s foreign Aid from the cold war to the war on terror
Journal of Development Economics, 2010Co-Authors: Robert K Fleck, Christopher KilbyAbstract:This paper explores how U.S. bilateral Economic Aid has changed over time, focusing on how the recent era-in which the War on Terror has played a prominent role in the Bush administration's Aid policy-differs from previous eras. In particular, has the renewed geopolitical role of Aid coincided with a reduction of Aid to the poorest countries or less weight on need in U.S. Aid allocation decisions? We start with an analysis of annual U.S. Aid budgets from 1955 to 2006. Controlling for domestic political and Economic conditions, we find that the War on Terror's effect on the Aid budget is significantly larger than is immediately apparent. To explore how the emphasis on need may have changed over time, we use country-level panel data on Aid allocations to 119 countries across the same time period. This shows that U.S. Aid flows-for the poorest as well as other developing countries-increased with the War on Terror. However, after rising for 35Â years, the emphasis placed on need has been falling steadily for core Aid recipients during the War on Terror.
Espen Villanger - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
-
Economic Aid to post conflict countries a methodological critique of collier and hoeffler
Conflict Security & Development, 2005Co-Authors: Astri Suhrke, Espen Villanger, Susan L WoodwardAbstract:In the past five years, research sponsored by the World Bank on the Economic aspects of civil war1 under the research directorship of Oxford economist Paul Collier has had an extraordinary influence on the subsequent study of violent conflict and civil war and on international policy. The research project has now turned its attention to the problem of countries emerging from civil war and what Collier and his co-author, Anke Hoeffler, call ‘a first systematic empirical analysis of Aid and policy reform in the post-conflict growth process.’2 Building on the influence of their earlier research and the lively interest currently in knowledge about and policy on post-conflict strategies, this work is likely to be equally influential on research, thinking, and policy. It is all the more important, therefore, to subject the research to critical examination before it becomes established as conventional wisdom. This note reports one such attempt to analyze some major methodological problems with the study and argu...
-
Economic Aid to post conflict countries a methodological critique of collier and hoeffler
2005Co-Authors: Astri Suhrke, Espen Villanger, Susan L WoodwardAbstract:This paper retests the analysis of "Aid Policy and Growth in Post-Conflict Societies," by Paul Collier and Anke Hoeffler (October 2002 and forthcoming in European Economic Review). It finds that their data and analysis do not support their conclusions and policy recommendations on the optimal timing and amounts of Aid. These conclusions depend on very few observations (13 for the period of peace-onset, 13 for years 4 to 7 when a growth spurt is sAid to make Aid particularly effective, and 8 for the period when Aid should taper off); are vulnerable to the same methodological misspecifications identified in the Burnside and Dollar approach on which this analysis is based; and are not grounded in any theoretical formulation about the special relation between Aid and growth in post-conflict conditions. Conventional econometric procedures are often not followed; recoding the sample to exclude cases that are not civil wars reduces the effect of Aid on growth in post-civil war countries to less than half of what they claim; and the difference with the relationship for "normal" countries becomes negligible (0.26 percentage points), although it depends on identification of the sample. Their claims on the poverty-efficiency of Aid are assumed, not analysed. The confidentiality of their policy measure (CPIA) prevented testing the Aid-policy relationship.
Robert K Fleck - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
-
changing Aid regimes u s foreign Aid from the cold war to the war on terror
Journal of Development Economics, 2010Co-Authors: Robert K Fleck, Christopher KilbyAbstract:This paper explores how U.S. bilateral Economic Aid has changed over time, focusing on how the recent era-in which the War on Terror has played a prominent role in the Bush administration's Aid policy-differs from previous eras. In particular, has the renewed geopolitical role of Aid coincided with a reduction of Aid to the poorest countries or less weight on need in U.S. Aid allocation decisions? We start with an analysis of annual U.S. Aid budgets from 1955 to 2006. Controlling for domestic political and Economic conditions, we find that the War on Terror's effect on the Aid budget is significantly larger than is immediately apparent. To explore how the emphasis on need may have changed over time, we use country-level panel data on Aid allocations to 119 countries across the same time period. This shows that U.S. Aid flows-for the poorest as well as other developing countries-increased with the War on Terror. However, after rising for 35Â years, the emphasis placed on need has been falling steadily for core Aid recipients during the War on Terror.
