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Gang Chen - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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response of the zonal mean atmospheric circulation to el nino versus global warming
Journal of Climate, 2008Co-Authors: Gang ChenAbstract:Abstract The change in the zonal mean atmospheric circulation under global warming is studied in comparison with the response to El Nino forcing, by examining the model simulations conducted for the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. In contrast to the strengthening and contraction of the Hadley cell and the equatorward shift of the tropospheric zonal jets in response to El Nino, the Hadley cell weakens and expands poleward, and the jets move poleward in a warmed climate, despite the projected “El Nino–like” enhanced warming over the equatorial central and eastern Pacific. The hydrological impacts of global warming also exhibit distinct patterns over the subtropics and Midlatitudes in comparison to the El Nino. Two feasible mechanisms are proposed for the zonal mean circulation response to global warming: 1) The increase in static stability of the subtropical and midlatitude troposphere, a robust result of the quasi-moist adiabatic adjustment to the surface warming,...
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response of the zonal mean atmospheric circulation to el nino versus global warming
Journal of Climate, 2008Co-Authors: Jian Lu, Gang ChenAbstract:The change in the zonal mean atmospheric circulation under global warming is studied in comparison with the response to El Nino forcing, by examining the model simulations conducted for the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. In contrast to the strengthening and contraction of the Hadley cell and the equatorward shift of the tropospheric zonal jets in response to El Nino, the Hadley cell weakens and expands poleward, and the jets move poleward in a warmed climate, despite the projected “El Nino–like” enhanced warming over the equatorial central and eastern Pacific. The hydrological impacts of global warming also exhibit distinct patterns over the subtropics and Midlatitudes in comparison to the El Nino. Two feasible mechanisms are proposed for the zonal mean circulation response to global warming: 1) The increase in static stability of the subtropical and midlatitude troposphere, a robust result of the quasi-moist adiabatic adjustment to the surface warming, may stabilize the baroclinic eddy growth on the equatorward side of the storm tracks and push the eddy activity and the associated eddy-driven wind and subsidence poleward, leading to the poleward expansion of the Hadley cell and the shift of midlatitude jets; 2) the strengthening of the midlatitude wind at the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere, arguably a consequence of increases in the meridional temperature gradient near the tropopause level due to the tropospheric warming and tropopause slope, may increase the eastward propagation of the eddies emanating from the Midlatitudes, and thus the subtropical region of wave breaking displaces poleward together with the eddy-driven circulation. Both mechanisms are somewhat, if not completely, distinct from those in response to the El Nino condition.
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the tropospheric jet response to prescribed zonal forcing in an idealized atmospheric model
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2008Co-Authors: Gang Chen, Pablo ZuritagotorAbstract:Abstract This paper explores the tropospheric jet shift to a prescribed zonal torque in an idealized dry atmospheric model with high stratospheric resolution. The jet moves in opposite directions for torques on the jet’s equatorward and poleward flanks in the troposphere. This can be explained by considering how the critical latitudes for wave activity absorption change, where the eastward propagation speed of eddies equals the background zonal mean zonal wind. While the increased zonal winds in the subtropics allow the midlatitude eddies to propagate farther into the tropics and result in the equatorward shift in the critical latitudes, the increased winds in the Midlatitudes accelerate the eastward eddy phase speeds and lead to the poleward shift in the critical latitudes. In contrast, the jet moves poleward when a westerly torque is placed in the extratropical stratosphere irrespective of the forcing latitude. The downward penetration of zonal winds to the troposphere displays a poleward slope for the ...
Darryn W Waugh - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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large scale transport into the arctic the roles of the midlatitude jet and the hadley cell
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 2019Co-Authors: Huang Yang, Darryn W Waugh, Clara Orbe, Guang Zeng, Olaf Morgenstern, Douglas E Kinnison, Jeanfrancois Lamarque, Simone Tilmes, David A PlummerAbstract:Abstract. Transport from the Northern Hemisphere (NH) Midlatitudes to the Arctic plays a crucial role in determining the abundance of trace gases and aerosols that are important to Arctic climate via impacts on radiation and chemistry. Here we examine this transport using an idealized tracer with a fixed lifetime and predominantly midlatitude land-based sources in models participating in the Chemistry Climate Model Initiative (CCMI). We show that there is a 25 %–45 % difference in the Arctic concentrations of this tracer among the models. This spread is correlated with the spread in the location of the Pacific jet, as well as the spread in the location of the Hadley Cell (HC) edge, which varies consistently with jet latitude. Our results suggest that it is likely that the HC-related zonal-mean meridional transport rather than the jet-related eddy mixing is the major contributor to the inter-model spread in the transport of land-based tracers into the Arctic. Specifically, in models with a more northern jet, the HC generally extends further north and the tracer source region is mostly covered by surface southward flow associated with the lower branch of the HC, resulting in less efficient transport poleward to the Arctic. During boreal summer, there are poleward biases in jet location in free-running models, and these models likely underestimate the rate of transport into the Arctic. Models using specified dynamics do not have biases in the jet location, but do have biases in the surface meridional flow, which may result in differences in transport into the Arctic. In addition to the land-based tracer, the midlatitude-to-Arctic transport is further examined by another idealized tracer with zonally uniform sources. With equal sources from both land and ocean, the inter-model spread of this zonally uniform tracer is more related to variations in parameterized convection over oceans rather than variations in HC extent, particularly during boreal winter. This suggests that transport of land-based and oceanic tracers or aerosols towards the Arctic differs in pathways and therefore their corresponding inter-model variabilities result from different physical processes.
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tropospheric rossby wave breaking and variability of the latitude of the eddy driven jet
Journal of Climate, 2014Co-Authors: Chaim I Garfinkel, Darryn W WaughAbstract:A dry general circulation model is used to investigate the connections between Rossby wave breaking and the latitude of the midlatitude tropospheric eddy-driven jet. An ensemble of experiments is constructed in which the jet latitude is influenced by a midlatitude tropospheric temperature anomaly that resembles observed climate change and by the imposition of a stratospheric polar vortex, and the distribution of Rossby wave breaking frequency is examined for each experiment. The shift in wave breaking per degree latitude of jet shift is then compared for three different sources of jet movement: the tropospheric baroclinic forcing imposed in Midlatitudes, the imposition of a stratospheric polar vortex, and the internal variability of the midlatitude eddy-driven jet. It is demonstrated that all three sources of jet movement produce a similar change in Rossby wave breaking frequency per degree of jet shift. Hence, it is difficult (if not impossible) to isolate the ultimate cause behind the shift in Rossby wave breaking in response to the two external forcings.
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a new formulation of equivalent effective stratospheric chlorine eesc
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 2007Co-Authors: Paul Newman, Darryn W Waugh, J S Daniel, Eric R NashAbstract:Equivalent effective stratospheric chlorine (EESC) is a convenient parameter to quantify the effects of halogens (chlorine and bromine) on ozone depletion in the stratosphere. We show, discuss, and analyze a new formulation of EESC that now includes the effects of age-of-air dependent fractional release values and an age-of-air spectrum. This EESC can be more appropriately applied to various parts of the stratosphere because of this dependence on mean age-of-air. This new formulation provides quantitative estimates of EESC that can be directly related to inorganic chlorine and bromine throughout the stratosphere. In this paper, we first provide a detailed description of the EESC calculation. We then use this EESC formulation to estimate that human-produced ozone depleting substances will recover to 1980 levels in 2041 in the Midlatitudes, and 2067 over Antarctica. These recovery dates are based upon the assumption that the international agreements for regulating ozone-depleting substances are adhered to. In addition to recovery dates, we also estimate the uncertainties and possible problems in the estimated times of recovery. The midlatitude recovery of 2041 has a 95% confidence uncertainty from 2028 to 2049, while the 2067 Antarctic recovery has a 95% confidence uncertainty from 2056 to 2078. The principal uncertainties are from the estimated mean age-of-air and fractional release values, and the assumption that these quantities are time independent. Using other model estimates of age decrease due to climate change, we estimate that midlatitude recovery may be significantly accelerated.
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transport out of the lower stratospheric arctic vortex by rossby wave breaking
Journal of Geophysical Research, 1994Co-Authors: Darryn W Waugh, Mark R Schoeberl, Leslie R Lait, Paul Newman, Max Loewenstein, Darin W. Toohey, L M Avallone, Richard A Plumb, R. J. Atkinson, C R WebsterAbstract:The fine-scale structure in lower stratospheric tracer transport during the period of the two Arctic Airborne Stratospheric Expeditions (January and February 1989; December 1991 to March 1992) is investigated using contour advection with surgery calculations. These calculations show that Rossby wave breaking is an ongoing occurrence during these periods and that air is ejected from the polar vortex in the form of long filamentary structures. There is good qualitative agreement between these filaments and measurements of chemical tracers taken aboard the NASA ER-2 aircraft. The ejected air generally remains filamentary and is stretched and mixed with midlatitude air as it is wrapped around the vortex. This process transfers vortex air into Midlatitudes and also produces a narrow region of fine-scale filaments surrounding the polar vortex. Among other things, this makes it difficult to define a vortex edge. The calculations also show that strong stirring can occur inside as well as outside the vortex.
Christopher W. Fairall - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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Dropsonde Observations of Total Integrated Water Vapor Transport within North Pacific Atmospheric Rivers
Journal of Hydrometeorology, 2017Co-Authors: F. M. Ralph, J. R. Spackman, Paul J. Neiman, Gary A. Wick, Sam F. Iacobellis, Jason M. Cordeira, D. E. Waliser, Allen B. White, Christopher W. FairallAbstract:AbstractAircraft dropsonde observations provide the most comprehensive measurements to date of horizontal water vapor transport in atmospheric rivers (ARs). The CalWater experiment recently more than tripled the number of ARs probed with the required measurements. This study uses vertical profiles of water vapor, wind, and pressure obtained from 304 dropsondes across 21 ARs. On average, total water vapor transport (TIVT) in an AR was 4.7 × 108 ± 2 × 108 kg s−1. This magnitude is 2.6 times larger than the average discharge of liquid water from the Amazon River. The mean AR width was 890 ± 270 km. Subtropical ARs contained larger integrated water vapor (IWV) but weaker winds than midlatitude ARs, although average TIVTs were nearly the same. Mean TIVTs calculated by defining the lateral “edges” of ARs using an IVT threshold versus an IWV threshold produced results that differed by less than 10% across all cases, but did vary between the Midlatitudes and subtropical regions.
Dennis L Hartmann - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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the response of the southern hemispheric eddy driven jet to future changes in shortwave radiation in cmip5
Geophysical Research Letters, 2014Co-Authors: Paulo Ceppi, Mark D Zelinka, Dennis L HartmannAbstract:A strong relationship is found between changes in the meridional gradient of absorbed shortwave radiation (ASR) and Southern Hemispheric jet shifts in 21st century climate simulations of CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5) coupled models. The relationship is such that models with increases in the meridional ASR gradient around the southern Midlatitudes, and therefore increases in midlatitude baroclinicity, tend to produce a larger poleward jet shift. The ASR changes are shown to be dominated by changes in cloud properties, with sea ice declines playing a secondary role. We demonstrate that the ASR changes are the cause, and not the result, of the intermodel differences in jet response by comparing coupled simulations with experiments in which sea surface temperature increases are prescribed. Our results highlight the importance of reducing the uncertainty in cloud feedbacks in order to constrain future circulation changes.
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southern hemisphere jet latitude biases in cmip5 models linked to shortwave cloud forcing
Geophysical Research Letters, 2012Co-Authors: Paulo Ceppi, Yenting Hwang, Dargan M W Frierson, Dennis L HartmannAbstract:[1] Substantial biases in shortwave cloud forcing (SWCF) of up to ±30 W m−2are found in the Midlatitudes of the Southern Hemisphere in the historical simulations of 34 CMIP5 coupled general circulation models. The SWCF biases are shown to induce surface temperature anomalies localized in the Midlatitudes, and are significantly correlated with the mean latitude of the eddy-driven jet, with a negative SWCF bias corresponding to an equatorward jet latitude bias. Aquaplanet model experiments are performed to demonstrate that the jet latitude biases are primarily induced by the midlatitude SWCF anomalies, such that the jet moves toward (away from) regions of enhanced (reduced) temperature gradients. The results underline the necessity of accurately representing cloud radiative forcings in state-of-the-art coupled models.
A J Coster - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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ionospheric response to the 2009 sudden stratospheric warming over the equatorial low and middle latitudes in the south american sector
Journal of Geophysical Research, 2015Co-Authors: Paulo Roberto Fagundes, Larisa Petrovna Goncharenko, A J Coster, R De Jesus, A J De Abreu, Mauricio Gende, Michael Pezzopane, K. Venkatesh, Valdir Gil PillatAbstract:The present study investigates the ionospheric total electron content (TEC) and F-layer response in the Southern Hemisphere equatorial, low, and middle latitudes due to major sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) event, which took place during January–February 2009 in the Northern Hemisphere. In this study, using 17 ground-based dual frequency GPS stations and two ionosonde stations spanning latitudes from 2.8°N to 53.8°S, longitudes from 36.7°W to 67.8°W over the South American sector, it is observed that the ionosphere was significantly disturbed by the SSW event from the equator to the Midlatitudes. During day of year 26 and 27 at 14:00 UT, the TEC was two times larger than that observed during average quiet days. The vertical TEC at all 17 GPS and two ionosonde stations shows significant deviations lasting for several days after the SSW temperature peak. Using one GPS station located at Rio Grande (53.8°S, 67.8°W, midlatitude South America sector), it is reported for the first time that the midlatitude in the Southern Hemisphere was disturbed by the SSW event in the Northern Hemisphere.
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direct observations of the role of convection electric field in the formation of a polar tongue of ionization from storm enhanced density
Journal of Geophysical Research, 2013Co-Authors: E G Thomas, A J Coster, J B H Baker, J M Ruohoniemi, L B N Clausen, J C Foster, Philip J EricksonAbstract:[1] We examine the relationship of convection electric fields to the formation of a polar cap tongue of ionization (TOI) from midlatitude plumes of storm enhanced density (SED). Observations from the geomagnetic storm on 26–27 September 2011 are presented for two distinct SED events. During an hour-long period of geomagnetic activity driven by a coronal mass ejection, a channel of high-density F region plasma was transported from the dayside subauroral ionosphere and into the polar cap by enhanced convection electric fields extending to middle latitudes. This TOI feature was associated with enhanced HF backscatter, indicating that it was the seat of active formation of small-scale irregularities. After the solar wind interplanetary magnetic field conditions quieted and the dayside convection electric fields retreated to higher latitudes, an SED plume was observed extending to, but not entering, the dayside cusp region. This prominent feature in the distribution of total electron content (TEC) persisted for several hours and elongated in magnetic local time with the rotation of the Earth. No ionospheric scatter from SuperDARN radars was observed within this SED region. The source mechanism (enhanced electric fields) previously drawing the plasma from Midlatitudes and into the polar cap as a TOI was no longer active, resulting in a fossil feature. We thus demonstrate the controlling role exercised by the convection electric field in generating a TOI from midlatitude SED.
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ionospheric observations during the geomagnetic storm events on 24 27 july 2004 long duration positive storm effects
Journal of Geophysical Research, 2012Co-Authors: Leeanne Mckinnell, Chigomezyo M Ngwira, Pierre J Cilliers, A J CosterAbstract:[1] Ionospheric storms represent large global disturbances of the ionospheric F region electron density in response to geomagnetic storms. In this study, we use a combination of ionospheric total electron content (TEC) global maps and data from in-situ satellite measurements, such as solar wind data from the Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE), the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP), and TOPographic EXplorer (TOPEX) and JASON-1 satellites, to investigate the ionospheric response during the geomagnetic storm event on 24–27 July 2004. A chain of ground-based Global Positioning System (GPS) stations and ionosonde measurements across South Africa have been used to give a comprehensive coverage over this midlatitude location. The most pronounced ionospheric effects of the storm occurred at low- and Midlatitudes in the Southern hemisphere, with the most significant enhancements, observed on 25 and 27 July, presented here. The DMSP F15 satellite observed a sharp density enhancement over the Midlatitudes. Over South Africa, the enhancement on 25 July was about twice as large as that observed on 27 July. The positive storm enhancements on 25 and 27 July both lasted over 7 hours, and can be classified as long-duration positive storm effects. Also, IMF Bz had southward orientation for an extended number of hours (exceeding 9 hours) and could have been the means by which energy was continuously fed into the magnetosphere and ionosphere. In addition, the F region critical frequency (foF2) values observed at two ionosonde stations showed marked positive responses that were associated with an increase in the ionospheric peak height (hmF2).
