The Experts below are selected from a list of 20442 Experts worldwide ranked by ideXlab platform
Owain Evans - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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viewpoint when will ai exceed human performance evidence from ai experts
Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research, 2018Co-Authors: Katja Grace, John Salvatier, Allan Dafoe, Baobao Zhang, Owain EvansAbstract:Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) will transform modern life by reshaping transportation, health, Science, Finance, and the military. To adapt public policy, we need to better anticipate these advances. Here we report the results from a large survey of machine learning researchers on their beliefs about progress in AI. Researchers predict AI will outperform humans in many activities in the next ten years, such as translating languages (by 2024), writing high-school essays (by 2026), driving a truck (by 2027), working in retail (by 2031), writing a bestselling book (by 2049), and working as a surgeon (by 2053). Researchers believe there is a 50% chance of AI outperforming humans in all tasks in 45 years and of automating all human jobs in 120 years, with Asian respondents expecting these dates much sooner than North Americans. These results will inform discussion amongst researchers and policymakers about anticipating and managing trends in AI.
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when will ai exceed human performance evidence from ai experts
arXiv: Artificial Intelligence, 2017Co-Authors: Katja Grace, John Salvatier, Allan Dafoe, Baobao Zhang, Owain EvansAbstract:Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) will transform modern life by reshaping transportation, health, Science, Finance, and the military. To adapt public policy, we need to better anticipate these advances. Here we report the results from a large survey of machine learning researchers on their beliefs about progress in AI. Researchers predict AI will outperform humans in many activities in the next ten years, such as translating languages (by 2024), writing high-school essays (by 2026), driving a truck (by 2027), working in retail (by 2031), writing a bestselling book (by 2049), and working as a surgeon (by 2053). Researchers believe there is a 50% chance of AI outperforming humans in all tasks in 45 years and of automating all human jobs in 120 years, with Asian respondents expecting these dates much sooner than North Americans. These results will inform discussion amongst researchers and policymakers about anticipating and managing trends in AI.
Katja Grace - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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viewpoint when will ai exceed human performance evidence from ai experts
Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research, 2018Co-Authors: Katja Grace, John Salvatier, Allan Dafoe, Baobao Zhang, Owain EvansAbstract:Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) will transform modern life by reshaping transportation, health, Science, Finance, and the military. To adapt public policy, we need to better anticipate these advances. Here we report the results from a large survey of machine learning researchers on their beliefs about progress in AI. Researchers predict AI will outperform humans in many activities in the next ten years, such as translating languages (by 2024), writing high-school essays (by 2026), driving a truck (by 2027), working in retail (by 2031), writing a bestselling book (by 2049), and working as a surgeon (by 2053). Researchers believe there is a 50% chance of AI outperforming humans in all tasks in 45 years and of automating all human jobs in 120 years, with Asian respondents expecting these dates much sooner than North Americans. These results will inform discussion amongst researchers and policymakers about anticipating and managing trends in AI.
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when will ai exceed human performance evidence from ai experts
arXiv: Artificial Intelligence, 2017Co-Authors: Katja Grace, John Salvatier, Allan Dafoe, Baobao Zhang, Owain EvansAbstract:Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) will transform modern life by reshaping transportation, health, Science, Finance, and the military. To adapt public policy, we need to better anticipate these advances. Here we report the results from a large survey of machine learning researchers on their beliefs about progress in AI. Researchers predict AI will outperform humans in many activities in the next ten years, such as translating languages (by 2024), writing high-school essays (by 2026), driving a truck (by 2027), working in retail (by 2031), writing a bestselling book (by 2049), and working as a surgeon (by 2053). Researchers believe there is a 50% chance of AI outperforming humans in all tasks in 45 years and of automating all human jobs in 120 years, with Asian respondents expecting these dates much sooner than North Americans. These results will inform discussion amongst researchers and policymakers about anticipating and managing trends in AI.
Allan Dafoe - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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viewpoint when will ai exceed human performance evidence from ai experts
Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research, 2018Co-Authors: Katja Grace, John Salvatier, Allan Dafoe, Baobao Zhang, Owain EvansAbstract:Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) will transform modern life by reshaping transportation, health, Science, Finance, and the military. To adapt public policy, we need to better anticipate these advances. Here we report the results from a large survey of machine learning researchers on their beliefs about progress in AI. Researchers predict AI will outperform humans in many activities in the next ten years, such as translating languages (by 2024), writing high-school essays (by 2026), driving a truck (by 2027), working in retail (by 2031), writing a bestselling book (by 2049), and working as a surgeon (by 2053). Researchers believe there is a 50% chance of AI outperforming humans in all tasks in 45 years and of automating all human jobs in 120 years, with Asian respondents expecting these dates much sooner than North Americans. These results will inform discussion amongst researchers and policymakers about anticipating and managing trends in AI.
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when will ai exceed human performance evidence from ai experts
arXiv: Artificial Intelligence, 2017Co-Authors: Katja Grace, John Salvatier, Allan Dafoe, Baobao Zhang, Owain EvansAbstract:Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) will transform modern life by reshaping transportation, health, Science, Finance, and the military. To adapt public policy, we need to better anticipate these advances. Here we report the results from a large survey of machine learning researchers on their beliefs about progress in AI. Researchers predict AI will outperform humans in many activities in the next ten years, such as translating languages (by 2024), writing high-school essays (by 2026), driving a truck (by 2027), working in retail (by 2031), writing a bestselling book (by 2049), and working as a surgeon (by 2053). Researchers believe there is a 50% chance of AI outperforming humans in all tasks in 45 years and of automating all human jobs in 120 years, with Asian respondents expecting these dates much sooner than North Americans. These results will inform discussion amongst researchers and policymakers about anticipating and managing trends in AI.
John Salvatier - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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viewpoint when will ai exceed human performance evidence from ai experts
Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research, 2018Co-Authors: Katja Grace, John Salvatier, Allan Dafoe, Baobao Zhang, Owain EvansAbstract:Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) will transform modern life by reshaping transportation, health, Science, Finance, and the military. To adapt public policy, we need to better anticipate these advances. Here we report the results from a large survey of machine learning researchers on their beliefs about progress in AI. Researchers predict AI will outperform humans in many activities in the next ten years, such as translating languages (by 2024), writing high-school essays (by 2026), driving a truck (by 2027), working in retail (by 2031), writing a bestselling book (by 2049), and working as a surgeon (by 2053). Researchers believe there is a 50% chance of AI outperforming humans in all tasks in 45 years and of automating all human jobs in 120 years, with Asian respondents expecting these dates much sooner than North Americans. These results will inform discussion amongst researchers and policymakers about anticipating and managing trends in AI.
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when will ai exceed human performance evidence from ai experts
arXiv: Artificial Intelligence, 2017Co-Authors: Katja Grace, John Salvatier, Allan Dafoe, Baobao Zhang, Owain EvansAbstract:Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) will transform modern life by reshaping transportation, health, Science, Finance, and the military. To adapt public policy, we need to better anticipate these advances. Here we report the results from a large survey of machine learning researchers on their beliefs about progress in AI. Researchers predict AI will outperform humans in many activities in the next ten years, such as translating languages (by 2024), writing high-school essays (by 2026), driving a truck (by 2027), working in retail (by 2031), writing a bestselling book (by 2049), and working as a surgeon (by 2053). Researchers believe there is a 50% chance of AI outperforming humans in all tasks in 45 years and of automating all human jobs in 120 years, with Asian respondents expecting these dates much sooner than North Americans. These results will inform discussion amongst researchers and policymakers about anticipating and managing trends in AI.
Baobao Zhang - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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viewpoint when will ai exceed human performance evidence from ai experts
Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research, 2018Co-Authors: Katja Grace, John Salvatier, Allan Dafoe, Baobao Zhang, Owain EvansAbstract:Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) will transform modern life by reshaping transportation, health, Science, Finance, and the military. To adapt public policy, we need to better anticipate these advances. Here we report the results from a large survey of machine learning researchers on their beliefs about progress in AI. Researchers predict AI will outperform humans in many activities in the next ten years, such as translating languages (by 2024), writing high-school essays (by 2026), driving a truck (by 2027), working in retail (by 2031), writing a bestselling book (by 2049), and working as a surgeon (by 2053). Researchers believe there is a 50% chance of AI outperforming humans in all tasks in 45 years and of automating all human jobs in 120 years, with Asian respondents expecting these dates much sooner than North Americans. These results will inform discussion amongst researchers and policymakers about anticipating and managing trends in AI.
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when will ai exceed human performance evidence from ai experts
arXiv: Artificial Intelligence, 2017Co-Authors: Katja Grace, John Salvatier, Allan Dafoe, Baobao Zhang, Owain EvansAbstract:Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) will transform modern life by reshaping transportation, health, Science, Finance, and the military. To adapt public policy, we need to better anticipate these advances. Here we report the results from a large survey of machine learning researchers on their beliefs about progress in AI. Researchers predict AI will outperform humans in many activities in the next ten years, such as translating languages (by 2024), writing high-school essays (by 2026), driving a truck (by 2027), working in retail (by 2031), writing a bestselling book (by 2049), and working as a surgeon (by 2053). Researchers believe there is a 50% chance of AI outperforming humans in all tasks in 45 years and of automating all human jobs in 120 years, with Asian respondents expecting these dates much sooner than North Americans. These results will inform discussion amongst researchers and policymakers about anticipating and managing trends in AI.