The Experts below are selected from a list of 327 Experts worldwide ranked by ideXlab platform
Mikko Myrskyla - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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all time low period Fertility in finland demographic drivers tempo effects and cohort implications
Population Studies-a Journal of Demography, 2020Co-Authors: Julia Ingrid Sofia Hellstrand, Jessica Nisen, Mikko MyrskylaAbstract:The ongoing period Fertility decline in the Nordic countries is particularly strong in Finland, where the total Fertility rate (TFR) reached an all-time low of 1.41 in 2018. We analyse the decrease in Finland's TFR in 2010-17, and assess its consequences for cohort Fertility using complementary approaches. Decomposition of this Fertility decline shows that first births and women aged <30 are making the largest contributions. However, women aged 30-39 are also, for the first time in decades, experiencing a sustained Fertility decline. Tempo adjustments to the TFR suggest that quantum change is part of the decline. Several forecasting methods indicate that cohort Fertility is likely to decline from the long-lasting level of 1.85-1.95 to 1.75 or lower among women born in the mid-1980s. Without an exceptionally strong recovery in Fertility, Finnish cohort Fertility is likely to decline to levels currently observed among countries with very low Fertility.
Anna Okonowicz - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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Fertility rebound and economic growth new evidence for 18 countries over the period 1970 2011
Research Papers in Economics, 2014Co-Authors: Piotr Dominiak, Ewa Lechman, Anna OkonowiczAbstract:The long-run impact of economic growth on total Fertility trends is ambiguous and sensitive for in-time variations. Over last decades, economic growth has led in many countries to significant falls in total Fertility rates. However, in recent years, in high-income economies a kind of “Fertility rebound” is revealed (Goldstein 2009; Luci and Thevenon, 2010; Day 2012). The concept of Fertility rebound supports the hypothesis that reversal trends in total Fertility rates are mainly attributed to economic growth. The paper unveils the relationship between total Fertility rate changes and economic growth in 18 selected countries with Fertility rebound observed, over the period 1970-2011. We anticipate uncovering U-shaped impact of economic growth on total Fertility rate. To report on the relationship we deploy longitudinal data analysis assuming non-linearity between examined variables. Data applied are exclusive derived from World Development Indicators 2013. Our main findings support the hypothesis on U-shaped relationship between total Fertility rate and economic growth in analyzed countries in 1970-2011. Along with the previous we project the threshold level of GDP per capita when the Fertility rebound takes place.
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Fertility rebound and economic growth new evidence for 18 countries over the period 1970 2011
Social Science Research Network, 2014Co-Authors: Piotr Dominiak, Ewa Lechman, Anna OkonowiczAbstract:Long-run impact of economic growth on Fertility trends is ambiguous and sensitive for in-time variations. Over last decades, economic growth has led in many countries to significant falls in total Fertility rates. However, recently, in high-income economies a kind of “Fertility rebound” is revealed [Goldstein 2009; Luci and Thevenon, 2011; Day 2012]. The concept of Fertility rebound supports the hypothesis that reversal trends in total Fertility rates are mainly attributed to economic growth.Our paper unveils the relationship between total Fertility rate changes and economic growth in 18 selected countries with Fertility rebound observed, over the period 1970-2011. We anticipate uncovering U-shaped impact of economic growth on total Fertility rate. To report on the relationship we deploy longitudinal data analysis assuming non-linearity between examined variables. Data applied are exclusive derived from World Development Indicators 2013. Our main findings support the hypothesis on U-shaped relationship between total Fertility rate and economic growth in analyzed countries in 1970-2011. Along with the previous we project the minimum level of GDP per capita when the Fertility rebound takes place.
Neil Cummins - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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marital Fertility and wealth during the Fertility transition rural france 1750 1850
The Economic History Review, 2013Co-Authors: Neil CumminsAbstract:It has been long established that the demographic transition began in eighteenth-century France, yet there is no consensus on exactly why Fertility declined. This analysis links Fertility life histories to wealth at death data for four rural villages in France, 1750–1850. For the first time, the wealth–Fertility relationship during the onset of the French Fertility decline can be analysed. Where Fertility is declining, wealth is a powerful predictor of smaller family size. This article argues that Fertility decline in France was a result of changing levels of economic inequality, associated with the 1789 Revolution. In cross-section, the data support this hypothesis: where Fertility is declining, economic inequality is lower than where Fertility is high.
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marital Fertility and wealth during the Fertility transition rural france
2012Co-Authors: Neil CumminsAbstract:It has been long established that the demographic transition began in eighteenthcentury France, yet there is no consensus on exactly why Fertility declined. This analysis links Fertility life histories to wealth at death data for four rural villages in France, 1750–1850. For the first time, the wealth–Fertility relationship during the onset of the French Fertility decline can be analysed. Where Fertility is declining, wealth is a powerful predictor of smaller family size. This article argues that Fertility decline in France was a result of changing levels of economic inequality, associated with the 1789 Revolution. In cross-section, the data support this hypothesis: where Fertility is declining, economic inequality is lower than where Fertility is high. T hree great events, the industrial revolution, the French Revolution, and the silent revolution of the demographic transition, were critical in shaping the modern world. All three emerged in eighteenth-century Europe. Britain was the pioneer of industrialization; France was the pioneer of conscious Fertility control. Is there a connection between these revolutions? The root causes of the Fertility transition are poorly understood.We still cannot explain why Fertility fell in eighteenth-century France; just as we cannot explain why it fell over a century later in the rest of Europe. Economic explanations for the European Fertility transition, such as demographic transition theory, micro economic theory, and more recently unified growth theory, have treated the early French Fertility decline as noise, the extreme tail end of a normal distribution.
Piotr Dominiak - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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Fertility rebound and economic growth new evidence for 18 countries over the period 1970 2011
Research Papers in Economics, 2014Co-Authors: Piotr Dominiak, Ewa Lechman, Anna OkonowiczAbstract:The long-run impact of economic growth on total Fertility trends is ambiguous and sensitive for in-time variations. Over last decades, economic growth has led in many countries to significant falls in total Fertility rates. However, in recent years, in high-income economies a kind of “Fertility rebound” is revealed (Goldstein 2009; Luci and Thevenon, 2010; Day 2012). The concept of Fertility rebound supports the hypothesis that reversal trends in total Fertility rates are mainly attributed to economic growth. The paper unveils the relationship between total Fertility rate changes and economic growth in 18 selected countries with Fertility rebound observed, over the period 1970-2011. We anticipate uncovering U-shaped impact of economic growth on total Fertility rate. To report on the relationship we deploy longitudinal data analysis assuming non-linearity between examined variables. Data applied are exclusive derived from World Development Indicators 2013. Our main findings support the hypothesis on U-shaped relationship between total Fertility rate and economic growth in analyzed countries in 1970-2011. Along with the previous we project the threshold level of GDP per capita when the Fertility rebound takes place.
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Fertility rebound and economic growth new evidence for 18 countries over the period 1970 2011
Social Science Research Network, 2014Co-Authors: Piotr Dominiak, Ewa Lechman, Anna OkonowiczAbstract:Long-run impact of economic growth on Fertility trends is ambiguous and sensitive for in-time variations. Over last decades, economic growth has led in many countries to significant falls in total Fertility rates. However, recently, in high-income economies a kind of “Fertility rebound” is revealed [Goldstein 2009; Luci and Thevenon, 2011; Day 2012]. The concept of Fertility rebound supports the hypothesis that reversal trends in total Fertility rates are mainly attributed to economic growth.Our paper unveils the relationship between total Fertility rate changes and economic growth in 18 selected countries with Fertility rebound observed, over the period 1970-2011. We anticipate uncovering U-shaped impact of economic growth on total Fertility rate. To report on the relationship we deploy longitudinal data analysis assuming non-linearity between examined variables. Data applied are exclusive derived from World Development Indicators 2013. Our main findings support the hypothesis on U-shaped relationship between total Fertility rate and economic growth in analyzed countries in 1970-2011. Along with the previous we project the minimum level of GDP per capita when the Fertility rebound takes place.
Martin Dribe - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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ses differences in marital Fertility widened during the Fertility transition evidence from global micro level population data
SN Social Sciences, 2021Co-Authors: Martin Dribe, Francesco ScaloneAbstract:The decline in human Fertility during the demographic transition is one of the most profound changes to human living conditions. To gain a better understanding of this transition we investigate the association between socioeconomic status (SES) and marital Fertility in different Fertility regimes in a global and historical perspective. We use data for a large number women in 91 different countries for the period 1703–2018 (N = 116,612,473). In the pre-transitional Fertility regime the highest SES group had somewhat lower marital Fertility than other groups both in terms of children ever born (CEB) and number of surviving children under 5 (CWR). Over the course of the Fertility transition, as measured by the different Fertility regimes, these rather small initial SES differentials in marital Fertility widened, both for CEB and CWR. There was no indication of a convergence in marital Fertility by SES in the later stages of the transition. Our results imply a universally negative association between SES and marital Fertility and that the Fertility differentials widened during the Fertility transition.
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socio economic status and Fertility decline insights from historical transitions in europe and north america
Population Studies-a Journal of Demography, 2017Co-Authors: Martin Dribe, Marco Breschi, Alain Gagnon, Danielle Gauvreau, Heidi A Hanson, Thomas N Maloney, Stanislao Mazzoni, Joseph Molitoris, Lucia Pozzi, Ken R SmithAbstract:The timings of historical Fertility transitions in different regions are well understood by demographers, but much less is known regarding their specific features and causes. In the study reported in this paper, we used longitudinal micro-level data for five local populations in Europe and North America to analyse the relationship between socio-economic status and Fertility during the Fertility transition. Using comparable analytical models and class schemes for each population, we examined the changing socio-economic differences in marital Fertility and related these to common theories on Fertility behaviour. Our results do not provide support for the hypothesis of universally high Fertility among the upper classes in pre-transitional society, but do support the idea that the upper classes acted as forerunners by reducing their Fertility before other groups. Farmers and unskilled workers were the latest to start limiting their Fertility. Apart from these similarities, patterns of class differences in Fertility varied significantly between populations.
