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J.m. Stewart - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.

  • Future State visioning technique at National Rubber Company
    Planning Review, 1994
    Co-Authors: J.m. Stewart
    Abstract:

    The Future State visioning process, a powerful management tool for initiating strategic change, stresses the development of stakeholder understanding and commitment as it builds a solid, principled base for action. It forces the leadership to look long term. Expressing the values underlying the issues is an integral part of the process, during which fundamental beliefs are surfaced, examined, and brought up to date.

  • Future State visioning—A powerful leadership process
    Long Range Planning, 1993
    Co-Authors: J.m. Stewart
    Abstract:

    Abstract The process of conceptualizing and implementing significant change in complex organizations can be aided greatly through ‘Future State visioning’, a set of processes for determining what and where you want to be by a Future date. After developing ideas about the nature of the Future environment facing the organization and the stakeholders who will be significant at that time, executives can articulate the values and principles which should guide actions leading to the Future State vision. Examples from three organizations are used to illustrate the steps for successful use of the Future State visioning procedure.

Daniele Ciuffa - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.

  • Past, present and Future State of the biogeochemical Si cycle in the Baltic Sea
    Journal of Marine Systems, 2008
    Co-Authors: Daniel J. Conley, Christoph Humborg, Erik Smedberg, Lars Rahm, Liana Papush, Åsa Danielsson, Annemarie Clarke, Marianna Pastuszak, Juris Aigars, Daniele Ciuffa
    Abstract:

    The Baltic Sea is one of many aquatic ecosystems that show long-term declines in dissolved silicate (DSi) concentrations due to anthropogenic alteration of the biogeochemical Si cycle. Reductions in DSi in aquatic ecosystems have been coupled to hydrological regulation reducing inputs, but also with eutrophication, although the relative significance of both processes remains unknown for the observed reductions in DSi concentrations. Here we combine present and historical data on water column DSi concentrations, together with estimates of present river DSi loads to the Baltic, the load prior to damming together with estimates of the long-term accumulation of BSi in sediments. In addition, a model has been used to evaluate the past, present and Future State of the biogeochemical Si cycle in the Baltic Sea. The present day DSi load to the Baltic Sea is 855 ktons y(-1). Hydrological regulation and eutrophication of inland waters can account for a reduction of 420 ktons y(-1) less riverine DSi entering the Baltic Sea today. Using published data on basin-wide accumulation rates we estimate that 1074 ktons y(-1) of biogenic silica (BSi) is accumulating in the sediments, which is 36% higher than earlier estimates from the literature (791 ktons y(-1)). The difference is largely due to the high reported sedimentation rates in the Bothnian Sea and the Bothnian Bay. Using river DSi loads and estimated BSi accumulation, our model was not able to estimate water column DSi concentrations as burial estimates exceeded DSi inputs. The model was then used to estimate the BSi burial from measured DSi concentrations and DSj load. The model estimate for the total burial of BSi in all three basins was 620 ktons y(-1), 74% less than estimated from sedimentation rates and sediment BSi concentrations. The model predicted 20% less BSi accumulation in the Baltic Proper and 10% less in the Bothnian Bay than estimated, but with significantly less BSi accumulation in the Bothnian Sea by a factor of 3. The model suggests there is an overestimation of basin-wide sedimentation rates in the Bothnian Bay and the Bothnian Sea. In the Baltic Proper, modelling shows that historical DSi concentrations were 2.6 times higher at the turn of the last century (ca. 1900) than at present. Although the DSi decrease has leveled out and at present there are only restricted areas of the Baltic Sea with limiting DSi concentrations, further declines in DSi concentrations will lead to widespread DSi limitation of diatoms with severe implications for the food web. (C) 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved

Jonathan Ball - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.

  • Environmental Future State Visioning: Towards a visual and integrative approach to information management for environmental planning
    Local Environment, 2001
    Co-Authors: Jonathan Ball
    Abstract:

    The Earth Summit in Rio highlighted many pressing concerns. Focus was placed on the human interaction with the environment and resulted in Local Agenda 21. The requirements of Local Agenda 21 raise the question of how effective participation might be achieved. A tool is proposed as a method for balancing the practicalities of technically aware, top-down approaches to environmental planning and the community participation of a bottom-up, non-technical approach. Future State visioning (FSV) is a technique that has been used successfully by community project planners and multinational corporate businesses alike. Bioregional mapping is a bottom-up, community-centric approach to identifying geographical boundaries that balance social, economic and environmental factors. The combination of FSV and bioregional mapping is offered as a visual and integrative approach to environmental information management, to be called 'environmental Future State visioning' (EFSV). La Cumbre de La Tierra en Rio resalti muchos asu...

  • Bioregions and Future State visioning: a visually integrative approach to the presentation of information for environmental policy and management.
    1999
    Co-Authors: Jonathan Ball
    Abstract:

    This thesis explores the comparatively new philosophy of bioregionalism to see what it might have to offer the environmental management process. The foundations of bioregional philosophy stretch back into the early part of last century with roots in the thinking of the early 'anarchist geographers' such as Peter Kropotkin. Input also comes from contemporaneous regionalist planners such as Patrick Geddes and Lewis Mumford. However, it was not until the early 1970s that Alan van Newkirk coined the phrase 'Bioregion'. Since then there has been steady growth in bioregional literature that clearly aligns it to ecocentric philosophies that are embraced by social movements like Deep Ecology. However, the most important part of bioregionalism is the bioregions construct. Whatever the philosophical inclinations of bioregionalist authors, the bioregion is presented as an identifiable entity, which is suited to be the basis for the formulation of strategy and planning and it is this that is of interest to this thesis. The basis for the study is the hypothesis that the need for a holistic approach to environmental management and planning requires more than the incremental approaches currently used, if tragedies like Easter Island are not to be repeated on a larger scale. The idea of Future State visioning is taken from industry and commerce and given an environmental perspective to provide the visionary dimension required by such a holistic process. However, a visionary process is best served by a visualization tool, particularly where non-expert, community participation is deemed essential. The process of mapping bioregions is just such a tool. The proposal that bioregional mapping is suitable as a tool requires that bioregions, as a construct, are demonstrable entities, as claimed by the literature. Tberefore, a mapping exercise that allowed the testing of this principle was undertaken for Scotland as the test area. A methodology was developed, using a Geographical Information System to assist in the mapping and analysis. Statistical analysis of the resultant theoretical bioregional model showed that the bioregions had good agreement with other methods of dividing Scotland into regions. They also showed better agreement with these other regionalisations than politically defined regions. The notion that watersheds can be substituted for bioregions was rejected. Therefore, it was shown that bioregions are demonstrable entities,albeit sensitive to scale. The bioregions produced from first principles were compared to an independent qualitatively developed model, The results of this comparison reinforces a suggestion that a 'science of quantities' needs to be tempered by a 'science of qualities' when stakeholder participation and interpretation is important. The dramatic story of the social and environmental collapse of Easter Island is a metaphor for the situation facing the Earth, as a whole on the one hand, and to introduce the arguments of sustainability and regionality on the other. Easter Island is isolated, with almost no external inputs, like the Earth, but on a different scale. However, it is also a part of the Earth. From many sources, there is agreement that the natural environment of the Earth is under threat, not just on the local scale but on a global scale as well. Bioregions are proposed as a holistic way of mapping the environment to inform the Future State visioning process, which is offered as a tool at the level of strategic management. Bioregional mapping and environmental Future State visioning were proposed as vehicles for stakeholder participation and the recognition of cultural factors in environmental management and planning. Future work should include investigating Future State visioning solutions to more localised and community focused environmental management problems. Scotland, as the subject for analysis, provides a manageable compromise between the extreme isolation and singularity of Easter Island and the multiplicity of the regions of the world. Scotland is an area that has good data on its various forms of regionality, including cultural and biogeographic regions.

Daniel J. Conley - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.

  • Past, present and Future State of the biogeochemical Si cycle in the Baltic Sea
    Journal of Marine Systems, 2008
    Co-Authors: Daniel J. Conley, Christoph Humborg, Erik Smedberg, Lars Rahm, Liana Papush, Åsa Danielsson, Annemarie Clarke, Marianna Pastuszak, Juris Aigars, Daniele Ciuffa
    Abstract:

    The Baltic Sea is one of many aquatic ecosystems that show long-term declines in dissolved silicate (DSi) concentrations due to anthropogenic alteration of the biogeochemical Si cycle. Reductions in DSi in aquatic ecosystems have been coupled to hydrological regulation reducing inputs, but also with eutrophication, although the relative significance of both processes remains unknown for the observed reductions in DSi concentrations. Here we combine present and historical data on water column DSi concentrations, together with estimates of present river DSi loads to the Baltic, the load prior to damming together with estimates of the long-term accumulation of BSi in sediments. In addition, a model has been used to evaluate the past, present and Future State of the biogeochemical Si cycle in the Baltic Sea. The present day DSi load to the Baltic Sea is 855 ktons y(-1). Hydrological regulation and eutrophication of inland waters can account for a reduction of 420 ktons y(-1) less riverine DSi entering the Baltic Sea today. Using published data on basin-wide accumulation rates we estimate that 1074 ktons y(-1) of biogenic silica (BSi) is accumulating in the sediments, which is 36% higher than earlier estimates from the literature (791 ktons y(-1)). The difference is largely due to the high reported sedimentation rates in the Bothnian Sea and the Bothnian Bay. Using river DSi loads and estimated BSi accumulation, our model was not able to estimate water column DSi concentrations as burial estimates exceeded DSi inputs. The model was then used to estimate the BSi burial from measured DSi concentrations and DSj load. The model estimate for the total burial of BSi in all three basins was 620 ktons y(-1), 74% less than estimated from sedimentation rates and sediment BSi concentrations. The model predicted 20% less BSi accumulation in the Baltic Proper and 10% less in the Bothnian Bay than estimated, but with significantly less BSi accumulation in the Bothnian Sea by a factor of 3. The model suggests there is an overestimation of basin-wide sedimentation rates in the Bothnian Bay and the Bothnian Sea. In the Baltic Proper, modelling shows that historical DSi concentrations were 2.6 times higher at the turn of the last century (ca. 1900) than at present. Although the DSi decrease has leveled out and at present there are only restricted areas of the Baltic Sea with limiting DSi concentrations, further declines in DSi concentrations will lead to widespread DSi limitation of diatoms with severe implications for the food web. (C) 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved

Nicholas W. Balabkins - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.

  • Providing Infrastructure for a Future State: Reading Herzl's Der Judenstaat in 1996
    European Journal of Law and Economics, 1996
    Co-Authors: Nicholas W. Balabkins
    Abstract:

    Theodor Herzl's Der Judenstaat, published in 1896, laid the intellectual foundations for the Future State of Israel. His hope was to create for the Jews of Europe a country where they could live without suffering discrimination and deprivation of vertical mobility. This article focuses on Herzl's views of the means and ends of creating the social overhead capital or infrastructure of such a Future country. A century ago, before Herzl, the strategic role of the public goods in the economic development process had not been sufficiently recognized.