The Experts below are selected from a list of 1644 Experts worldwide ranked by ideXlab platform
Gerd Zika - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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economy 4 0 and its labour market and economic impacts scenario calculations in line with the bibb iab qualification and Occupational Field projections
IAB-Forschungsbericht, 2016Co-Authors: Marc Ingo Wolter, Tobias Maier, Anke Monnig, Gerd Zika, Markus Hummel, Enzo Weber, Robert Helmrich, Caroline NeuberpohlAbstract:This study focuses on the economic effects of the phenomenon of "Economy 4.0", the digitalisation of the economy as a whole and not only in industrial production processes. These developments involve considerable challenges at enterprise and political level. The five-step scenario analysis begins with the impacts of increased investments of enterprises in equipment (1) and of the state in the network infrastructure (2) on the overall economy and the labour market. On this basis we further model the consequent personnel and material costs of the enterprises (3) and a changed pattern of demand for occupations and skills (4). In a further scenario the effects on the labour market of a potentially increasing demand for goods (5) are taken into consideration. The cumulative effects of these five partial scenarios are compared with a baseline scenario which contains no advanced development path to Economy 4.0. The results show that Economy 4.0 will accelerate the structural change towards more services. In this process labour force movements between branches, occupations and job requirements are much larger than the change of the number of gainfully employed persons in total. The turnover on the labour market are accompanied by an increasing value added which is leading not only to more economic assets but also - due to higher requirements for the labour force - to higher aggregate wages. The underlying assumptions have a positive effect on the economic development. But this also means that, given a delayed realization, the assumptions are turning against the business location Germany: We will export less and demand more 'new' goods from abroad. In order to analyse the effects of digitization on the future Occupational structure, but also to improve the knowledge about the economic interdependencies, further advances of the QuBe-E4.0 project are planned.
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wirtschaft 4 0 und die folgen fur arbeitsmarkt und okonomie szenario rechnungen im rahmen der bibb iab qualifikations und berufsfeldprojektionen economy 4 0 and its labour market and economic impacts scenario calculations in line with the bibb iab qu
IAB-Forschungsbericht, 2016Co-Authors: Marc Ingo Wolter, Tobias Maier, Anke Monnig, Gerd Zika, Markus Hummel, Enzo Weber, Robert Helmrich, Caroline NeuberpohlAbstract:"This study focuses on the economic effects of the phenomenon of 'economy 4.0', the digitalisation of the economy as a whole and not only in industrial production processes. These developments involve considerable challenges at enterprise and political level. The five-step scenario analysis begins with the impacts of increased investments of enterprises in equipment (1) and of the state in the network infrastructure (2) on the overall economy and the labour market. On this basis we further model the consequent personnel and material costs of the enterprises (3) and a changed pattern of demand for occupations and skills (4). In a further scenario the effects on the labour market of a potentially increasing demand for goods (5) are taken into consideration. The cumulative effects of these five partial scenarios are compared with a baseline scenario which contains no advanced development path to economy 4.0. The results show that economy 4.0 will accelerate the structural change towards more services. In this process labour force movements between branches, occupations and job requirements are much larger than the change of the number of employees in total. The turnover on the labour market are accompanied by an increasing value added which is leading not only to more economic assets but also - due to higher requirements for the labour force - to higher aggregate wages. The underlying assumptions have a positive effect on the economic development. But this also means that, given a delayed realization, the assumptions are turning against the business location Germany: We will export less and demand more 'new' goods from abroad. In order to analyze the effects of digitization on the future Occupational structure, but also to improve the knowledge about the economic interdependencies, further advances of the QuBe-E4.0 project are planned." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))
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industry 4 0 and the consequences for labour market and economy scenario calculations in line with the bibb iab qualifications and Occupational Field projections industrie 4 0 und die folgen fur arbeitsmarkt und wirtschaft szenario rechnungen im rahm
IAB-Forschungsbericht, 2015Co-Authors: Marc Ingo Wolter, Tobias Maier, Anke Monnig, Gerd Zika, Markus Hummel, Enzo Weber, Robert Helmrich, Christian Schneemann, Caroline NeuberpohlAbstract:"This study focuses on the economic effects of the phenomenon of 'Industry 4.0', the digitalisation of the production processes. These developments involve considerable challenges for companies as well as on a political level. This five-step scenario analysis begins with the impacts of increased investments in equipment (1) by companies and in the network infrastructure (2) by the government on the overall economy and the labour market. On this basis, we continue to model the consequential personnel and material costs of the companies (3) and a changed pattern of demand according to occupations and skills (4). The cumulative effects of these four partial scenarios are compared to a baseline scenario, which does not contain an advanced developmental path to Industry 4.0. In another scenario, the effects on the labour market of a potentially increasing demand for goods (5) are taken into consideration and also contrasted with the baseline scenario. The results show that Industry 4.0 will accelerate the structural change towards more services. In the process, labour force movements between sectors and occupations are significantly greater than the change of the number of employees overall. The turnover on the labour market is accompanied by an increasing added value, which not only leads to more economic assets but also - due to greater demands on the labour force - to higher aggregate wages. The underlying assumptions have a positive effect on the economic development. However, that also means that, given a delayed implementation, the assumptions are turning against the business location Germany: We will export less and demand more 'new' goods from abroad. In order to continue to improve the economic findings on the effects of digitization, a further development of the QUBE-I4.0-project is planned." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en)) Additional Information Ausgabe in deutscher Sprache
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labour demand in germany by industrial sector Occupational Field and qualification until 2025 model calculations using the iab inforge model
Economic Systems Research, 2015Co-Authors: Tobias Maier, Anke Monnig, Gerd ZikaAbstract:By means of a trend extrapolation of microcensus structures (undertaken by the German Federal Statistical Office) for the time period 1996-2007, the projections for labour demand by industrial sector which the IAB already has at its disposal can be transferred to demand by Occupational Field and subsequently by qualification level until 2025. The findings which have been claimed for some time now are upheld: production-related occupations will lose in significance, while further increases in employment particularly in occupations in the service sector are to be expected. Accordingly, the demand for personnel with a degree from a university or a university of applied sciences will go on rising, while the labour market opportunities for unskilled workers will continue to fall. However, vocational training or its academic counterparts still remain the dominant form of training in Germany. A continuing employment trend is to be expected here.
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LABOUR DEMAND IN GERMANY BY INDUSTRIAL SECTOR, Occupational Field AND QUALIFICATION UNTIL 2025 – MODEL CALCULATIONS USING THE IAB/INFORGE MODEL
Economic Systems Research, 2015Co-Authors: Tobias Maier, Anke Monnig, Gerd ZikaAbstract:By means of a trend extrapolation of microcensus structures (undertaken by the German Federal Statistical Office) for the time period 1996-2007, the projections for labour demand by industrial sector which the IAB already has at its disposal can be transferred to demand by Occupational Field and subsequently by qualification level until 2025. The findings which have been claimed for some time now are upheld: production-related occupations will lose in significance, while further increases in employment particularly in occupations in the service sector are to be expected. Accordingly, the demand for personnel with a degree from a university or a university of applied sciences will go on rising, while the labour market opportunities for unskilled workers will continue to fall. However, vocational training or its academic counterparts still remain the dominant form of training in Germany. A continuing employment trend is to be expected here.
Tobias Maier - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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economy 4 0 and its labour market and economic impacts scenario calculations in line with the bibb iab qualification and Occupational Field projections
IAB-Forschungsbericht, 2016Co-Authors: Marc Ingo Wolter, Tobias Maier, Anke Monnig, Gerd Zika, Markus Hummel, Enzo Weber, Robert Helmrich, Caroline NeuberpohlAbstract:This study focuses on the economic effects of the phenomenon of "Economy 4.0", the digitalisation of the economy as a whole and not only in industrial production processes. These developments involve considerable challenges at enterprise and political level. The five-step scenario analysis begins with the impacts of increased investments of enterprises in equipment (1) and of the state in the network infrastructure (2) on the overall economy and the labour market. On this basis we further model the consequent personnel and material costs of the enterprises (3) and a changed pattern of demand for occupations and skills (4). In a further scenario the effects on the labour market of a potentially increasing demand for goods (5) are taken into consideration. The cumulative effects of these five partial scenarios are compared with a baseline scenario which contains no advanced development path to Economy 4.0. The results show that Economy 4.0 will accelerate the structural change towards more services. In this process labour force movements between branches, occupations and job requirements are much larger than the change of the number of gainfully employed persons in total. The turnover on the labour market are accompanied by an increasing value added which is leading not only to more economic assets but also - due to higher requirements for the labour force - to higher aggregate wages. The underlying assumptions have a positive effect on the economic development. But this also means that, given a delayed realization, the assumptions are turning against the business location Germany: We will export less and demand more 'new' goods from abroad. In order to analyse the effects of digitization on the future Occupational structure, but also to improve the knowledge about the economic interdependencies, further advances of the QuBe-E4.0 project are planned.
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wirtschaft 4 0 und die folgen fur arbeitsmarkt und okonomie szenario rechnungen im rahmen der bibb iab qualifikations und berufsfeldprojektionen economy 4 0 and its labour market and economic impacts scenario calculations in line with the bibb iab qu
IAB-Forschungsbericht, 2016Co-Authors: Marc Ingo Wolter, Tobias Maier, Anke Monnig, Gerd Zika, Markus Hummel, Enzo Weber, Robert Helmrich, Caroline NeuberpohlAbstract:"This study focuses on the economic effects of the phenomenon of 'economy 4.0', the digitalisation of the economy as a whole and not only in industrial production processes. These developments involve considerable challenges at enterprise and political level. The five-step scenario analysis begins with the impacts of increased investments of enterprises in equipment (1) and of the state in the network infrastructure (2) on the overall economy and the labour market. On this basis we further model the consequent personnel and material costs of the enterprises (3) and a changed pattern of demand for occupations and skills (4). In a further scenario the effects on the labour market of a potentially increasing demand for goods (5) are taken into consideration. The cumulative effects of these five partial scenarios are compared with a baseline scenario which contains no advanced development path to economy 4.0. The results show that economy 4.0 will accelerate the structural change towards more services. In this process labour force movements between branches, occupations and job requirements are much larger than the change of the number of employees in total. The turnover on the labour market are accompanied by an increasing value added which is leading not only to more economic assets but also - due to higher requirements for the labour force - to higher aggregate wages. The underlying assumptions have a positive effect on the economic development. But this also means that, given a delayed realization, the assumptions are turning against the business location Germany: We will export less and demand more 'new' goods from abroad. In order to analyze the effects of digitization on the future Occupational structure, but also to improve the knowledge about the economic interdependencies, further advances of the QuBe-E4.0 project are planned." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))
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industry 4 0 and the consequences for labour market and economy scenario calculations in line with the bibb iab qualifications and Occupational Field projections industrie 4 0 und die folgen fur arbeitsmarkt und wirtschaft szenario rechnungen im rahm
IAB-Forschungsbericht, 2015Co-Authors: Marc Ingo Wolter, Tobias Maier, Anke Monnig, Gerd Zika, Markus Hummel, Enzo Weber, Robert Helmrich, Christian Schneemann, Caroline NeuberpohlAbstract:"This study focuses on the economic effects of the phenomenon of 'Industry 4.0', the digitalisation of the production processes. These developments involve considerable challenges for companies as well as on a political level. This five-step scenario analysis begins with the impacts of increased investments in equipment (1) by companies and in the network infrastructure (2) by the government on the overall economy and the labour market. On this basis, we continue to model the consequential personnel and material costs of the companies (3) and a changed pattern of demand according to occupations and skills (4). The cumulative effects of these four partial scenarios are compared to a baseline scenario, which does not contain an advanced developmental path to Industry 4.0. In another scenario, the effects on the labour market of a potentially increasing demand for goods (5) are taken into consideration and also contrasted with the baseline scenario. The results show that Industry 4.0 will accelerate the structural change towards more services. In the process, labour force movements between sectors and occupations are significantly greater than the change of the number of employees overall. The turnover on the labour market is accompanied by an increasing added value, which not only leads to more economic assets but also - due to greater demands on the labour force - to higher aggregate wages. The underlying assumptions have a positive effect on the economic development. However, that also means that, given a delayed implementation, the assumptions are turning against the business location Germany: We will export less and demand more 'new' goods from abroad. In order to continue to improve the economic findings on the effects of digitization, a further development of the QUBE-I4.0-project is planned." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en)) Additional Information Ausgabe in deutscher Sprache
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labour demand in germany by industrial sector Occupational Field and qualification until 2025 model calculations using the iab inforge model
Economic Systems Research, 2015Co-Authors: Tobias Maier, Anke Monnig, Gerd ZikaAbstract:By means of a trend extrapolation of microcensus structures (undertaken by the German Federal Statistical Office) for the time period 1996-2007, the projections for labour demand by industrial sector which the IAB already has at its disposal can be transferred to demand by Occupational Field and subsequently by qualification level until 2025. The findings which have been claimed for some time now are upheld: production-related occupations will lose in significance, while further increases in employment particularly in occupations in the service sector are to be expected. Accordingly, the demand for personnel with a degree from a university or a university of applied sciences will go on rising, while the labour market opportunities for unskilled workers will continue to fall. However, vocational training or its academic counterparts still remain the dominant form of training in Germany. A continuing employment trend is to be expected here.
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LABOUR DEMAND IN GERMANY BY INDUSTRIAL SECTOR, Occupational Field AND QUALIFICATION UNTIL 2025 – MODEL CALCULATIONS USING THE IAB/INFORGE MODEL
Economic Systems Research, 2015Co-Authors: Tobias Maier, Anke Monnig, Gerd ZikaAbstract:By means of a trend extrapolation of microcensus structures (undertaken by the German Federal Statistical Office) for the time period 1996-2007, the projections for labour demand by industrial sector which the IAB already has at its disposal can be transferred to demand by Occupational Field and subsequently by qualification level until 2025. The findings which have been claimed for some time now are upheld: production-related occupations will lose in significance, while further increases in employment particularly in occupations in the service sector are to be expected. Accordingly, the demand for personnel with a degree from a university or a university of applied sciences will go on rising, while the labour market opportunities for unskilled workers will continue to fall. However, vocational training or its academic counterparts still remain the dominant form of training in Germany. A continuing employment trend is to be expected here.
Anke Monnig - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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economy 4 0 and its labour market and economic impacts scenario calculations in line with the bibb iab qualification and Occupational Field projections
IAB-Forschungsbericht, 2016Co-Authors: Marc Ingo Wolter, Tobias Maier, Anke Monnig, Gerd Zika, Markus Hummel, Enzo Weber, Robert Helmrich, Caroline NeuberpohlAbstract:This study focuses on the economic effects of the phenomenon of "Economy 4.0", the digitalisation of the economy as a whole and not only in industrial production processes. These developments involve considerable challenges at enterprise and political level. The five-step scenario analysis begins with the impacts of increased investments of enterprises in equipment (1) and of the state in the network infrastructure (2) on the overall economy and the labour market. On this basis we further model the consequent personnel and material costs of the enterprises (3) and a changed pattern of demand for occupations and skills (4). In a further scenario the effects on the labour market of a potentially increasing demand for goods (5) are taken into consideration. The cumulative effects of these five partial scenarios are compared with a baseline scenario which contains no advanced development path to Economy 4.0. The results show that Economy 4.0 will accelerate the structural change towards more services. In this process labour force movements between branches, occupations and job requirements are much larger than the change of the number of gainfully employed persons in total. The turnover on the labour market are accompanied by an increasing value added which is leading not only to more economic assets but also - due to higher requirements for the labour force - to higher aggregate wages. The underlying assumptions have a positive effect on the economic development. But this also means that, given a delayed realization, the assumptions are turning against the business location Germany: We will export less and demand more 'new' goods from abroad. In order to analyse the effects of digitization on the future Occupational structure, but also to improve the knowledge about the economic interdependencies, further advances of the QuBe-E4.0 project are planned.
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wirtschaft 4 0 und die folgen fur arbeitsmarkt und okonomie szenario rechnungen im rahmen der bibb iab qualifikations und berufsfeldprojektionen economy 4 0 and its labour market and economic impacts scenario calculations in line with the bibb iab qu
IAB-Forschungsbericht, 2016Co-Authors: Marc Ingo Wolter, Tobias Maier, Anke Monnig, Gerd Zika, Markus Hummel, Enzo Weber, Robert Helmrich, Caroline NeuberpohlAbstract:"This study focuses on the economic effects of the phenomenon of 'economy 4.0', the digitalisation of the economy as a whole and not only in industrial production processes. These developments involve considerable challenges at enterprise and political level. The five-step scenario analysis begins with the impacts of increased investments of enterprises in equipment (1) and of the state in the network infrastructure (2) on the overall economy and the labour market. On this basis we further model the consequent personnel and material costs of the enterprises (3) and a changed pattern of demand for occupations and skills (4). In a further scenario the effects on the labour market of a potentially increasing demand for goods (5) are taken into consideration. The cumulative effects of these five partial scenarios are compared with a baseline scenario which contains no advanced development path to economy 4.0. The results show that economy 4.0 will accelerate the structural change towards more services. In this process labour force movements between branches, occupations and job requirements are much larger than the change of the number of employees in total. The turnover on the labour market are accompanied by an increasing value added which is leading not only to more economic assets but also - due to higher requirements for the labour force - to higher aggregate wages. The underlying assumptions have a positive effect on the economic development. But this also means that, given a delayed realization, the assumptions are turning against the business location Germany: We will export less and demand more 'new' goods from abroad. In order to analyze the effects of digitization on the future Occupational structure, but also to improve the knowledge about the economic interdependencies, further advances of the QuBe-E4.0 project are planned." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))
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industry 4 0 and the consequences for labour market and economy scenario calculations in line with the bibb iab qualifications and Occupational Field projections industrie 4 0 und die folgen fur arbeitsmarkt und wirtschaft szenario rechnungen im rahm
IAB-Forschungsbericht, 2015Co-Authors: Marc Ingo Wolter, Tobias Maier, Anke Monnig, Gerd Zika, Markus Hummel, Enzo Weber, Robert Helmrich, Christian Schneemann, Caroline NeuberpohlAbstract:"This study focuses on the economic effects of the phenomenon of 'Industry 4.0', the digitalisation of the production processes. These developments involve considerable challenges for companies as well as on a political level. This five-step scenario analysis begins with the impacts of increased investments in equipment (1) by companies and in the network infrastructure (2) by the government on the overall economy and the labour market. On this basis, we continue to model the consequential personnel and material costs of the companies (3) and a changed pattern of demand according to occupations and skills (4). The cumulative effects of these four partial scenarios are compared to a baseline scenario, which does not contain an advanced developmental path to Industry 4.0. In another scenario, the effects on the labour market of a potentially increasing demand for goods (5) are taken into consideration and also contrasted with the baseline scenario. The results show that Industry 4.0 will accelerate the structural change towards more services. In the process, labour force movements between sectors and occupations are significantly greater than the change of the number of employees overall. The turnover on the labour market is accompanied by an increasing added value, which not only leads to more economic assets but also - due to greater demands on the labour force - to higher aggregate wages. The underlying assumptions have a positive effect on the economic development. However, that also means that, given a delayed implementation, the assumptions are turning against the business location Germany: We will export less and demand more 'new' goods from abroad. In order to continue to improve the economic findings on the effects of digitization, a further development of the QUBE-I4.0-project is planned." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en)) Additional Information Ausgabe in deutscher Sprache
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labour demand in germany by industrial sector Occupational Field and qualification until 2025 model calculations using the iab inforge model
Economic Systems Research, 2015Co-Authors: Tobias Maier, Anke Monnig, Gerd ZikaAbstract:By means of a trend extrapolation of microcensus structures (undertaken by the German Federal Statistical Office) for the time period 1996-2007, the projections for labour demand by industrial sector which the IAB already has at its disposal can be transferred to demand by Occupational Field and subsequently by qualification level until 2025. The findings which have been claimed for some time now are upheld: production-related occupations will lose in significance, while further increases in employment particularly in occupations in the service sector are to be expected. Accordingly, the demand for personnel with a degree from a university or a university of applied sciences will go on rising, while the labour market opportunities for unskilled workers will continue to fall. However, vocational training or its academic counterparts still remain the dominant form of training in Germany. A continuing employment trend is to be expected here.
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LABOUR DEMAND IN GERMANY BY INDUSTRIAL SECTOR, Occupational Field AND QUALIFICATION UNTIL 2025 – MODEL CALCULATIONS USING THE IAB/INFORGE MODEL
Economic Systems Research, 2015Co-Authors: Tobias Maier, Anke Monnig, Gerd ZikaAbstract:By means of a trend extrapolation of microcensus structures (undertaken by the German Federal Statistical Office) for the time period 1996-2007, the projections for labour demand by industrial sector which the IAB already has at its disposal can be transferred to demand by Occupational Field and subsequently by qualification level until 2025. The findings which have been claimed for some time now are upheld: production-related occupations will lose in significance, while further increases in employment particularly in occupations in the service sector are to be expected. Accordingly, the demand for personnel with a degree from a university or a university of applied sciences will go on rising, while the labour market opportunities for unskilled workers will continue to fall. However, vocational training or its academic counterparts still remain the dominant form of training in Germany. A continuing employment trend is to be expected here.
Satoshi Sasaki - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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promoting and inhibiting factors for the use of validated dietary assessment questionnaires in health check up counseling from Occupational health nurses and dietitians perspective
Industrial Health, 2019Co-Authors: Ryoko Katagiri, Go Muto, Satoshi SasakiAbstract:A validated questionnaire is not typically used for dietary assessment in health check-up counseling provided by Occupational health nurses in Japan. We conducted a qualitative study to investigate the barriers and promoting factors affecting the use of validated questionnaires. Ten Occupational health nurses and three registered dietitians, working at a health insurance society, were recruited for this study using an open-ended, free description questionnaire. Inhibiting factors, such as "Feeling of satisfaction with the current method," "Recognition of importance," and "Sense of burden from the questionnaire", and as promoting factors, "Feeling the current method is insufficient", "Recognition of importance," "Reduction in the feeling of burden after the answer," "Expectation of and reaction to the result," and "Expectation for the effect of the counseling" were noted. Since a standardized dietary assessment method in health counseling might be desirable for the harmonization of work with diseases prevention in an Occupational Field, findings in this study could propose appropriate targets to reduce confusion in health professionals' concerning the use of validated questionnaires.
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O8C.4 Effective group education for healthy dietary habit using results of a dietary questionnaire in Occupational Field: an intervention study
Occupational and Environmental Medicine, 2019Co-Authors: Ryoko Katagiri, Go Muto, Satoshi SasakiAbstract:Introduction In Japan, a health promotion education in Occupational Field is often performed in groups because of the limited number of Occupational health workers. When using individual result obtained from a dietary questionnaire, even in a group education, it may be possible to educate individually and may lead to behavioral change of employees effectively. Method A non-randomized intervention study was conducted in 2016. Group education using the results of ‘Brief-type self-administered diet history questionnaire (BDHQ)’ from which information for nutrient intake, food intake and dietary habits can be obtained, were compared with usual group education among selected companies. The dietary questionnaire was used in 3 companies with 269 employees (intervention group) and 2 companies with 111 employees were educated normally (control group). Alteration in stages of behavior change in each person were compared between two groups. Result Among employees who had originally thought that their dietary habits are healthy, significantly more people in the intervention group had willingness to change behavior than people in the usual education group (p=0.008), while no significant difference could be found in employees who had originally thought that their dietary habits are unhealthy (p=0.44). Nevertheless, among individuals who originally recognized their diet as unhealthy and had willingness to change behavior, the number of employees who selected ‘could understand the issue of your own dietary habits’ as the reason for changing behavior in intervention group were significantly more than that of control group (33% vs 15%. p=0.02). Conclusion Despite in a group education, BDHQ could show the points to change in dietary habits individually. Although how to motivate employees who are entirely uninterested warrant further investigation, using a dietary questionnaire in health education can be an effective way in Occupational Field.
Caroline Neuberpohl - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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economy 4 0 and its labour market and economic impacts scenario calculations in line with the bibb iab qualification and Occupational Field projections
IAB-Forschungsbericht, 2016Co-Authors: Marc Ingo Wolter, Tobias Maier, Anke Monnig, Gerd Zika, Markus Hummel, Enzo Weber, Robert Helmrich, Caroline NeuberpohlAbstract:This study focuses on the economic effects of the phenomenon of "Economy 4.0", the digitalisation of the economy as a whole and not only in industrial production processes. These developments involve considerable challenges at enterprise and political level. The five-step scenario analysis begins with the impacts of increased investments of enterprises in equipment (1) and of the state in the network infrastructure (2) on the overall economy and the labour market. On this basis we further model the consequent personnel and material costs of the enterprises (3) and a changed pattern of demand for occupations and skills (4). In a further scenario the effects on the labour market of a potentially increasing demand for goods (5) are taken into consideration. The cumulative effects of these five partial scenarios are compared with a baseline scenario which contains no advanced development path to Economy 4.0. The results show that Economy 4.0 will accelerate the structural change towards more services. In this process labour force movements between branches, occupations and job requirements are much larger than the change of the number of gainfully employed persons in total. The turnover on the labour market are accompanied by an increasing value added which is leading not only to more economic assets but also - due to higher requirements for the labour force - to higher aggregate wages. The underlying assumptions have a positive effect on the economic development. But this also means that, given a delayed realization, the assumptions are turning against the business location Germany: We will export less and demand more 'new' goods from abroad. In order to analyse the effects of digitization on the future Occupational structure, but also to improve the knowledge about the economic interdependencies, further advances of the QuBe-E4.0 project are planned.
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wirtschaft 4 0 und die folgen fur arbeitsmarkt und okonomie szenario rechnungen im rahmen der bibb iab qualifikations und berufsfeldprojektionen economy 4 0 and its labour market and economic impacts scenario calculations in line with the bibb iab qu
IAB-Forschungsbericht, 2016Co-Authors: Marc Ingo Wolter, Tobias Maier, Anke Monnig, Gerd Zika, Markus Hummel, Enzo Weber, Robert Helmrich, Caroline NeuberpohlAbstract:"This study focuses on the economic effects of the phenomenon of 'economy 4.0', the digitalisation of the economy as a whole and not only in industrial production processes. These developments involve considerable challenges at enterprise and political level. The five-step scenario analysis begins with the impacts of increased investments of enterprises in equipment (1) and of the state in the network infrastructure (2) on the overall economy and the labour market. On this basis we further model the consequent personnel and material costs of the enterprises (3) and a changed pattern of demand for occupations and skills (4). In a further scenario the effects on the labour market of a potentially increasing demand for goods (5) are taken into consideration. The cumulative effects of these five partial scenarios are compared with a baseline scenario which contains no advanced development path to economy 4.0. The results show that economy 4.0 will accelerate the structural change towards more services. In this process labour force movements between branches, occupations and job requirements are much larger than the change of the number of employees in total. The turnover on the labour market are accompanied by an increasing value added which is leading not only to more economic assets but also - due to higher requirements for the labour force - to higher aggregate wages. The underlying assumptions have a positive effect on the economic development. But this also means that, given a delayed realization, the assumptions are turning against the business location Germany: We will export less and demand more 'new' goods from abroad. In order to analyze the effects of digitization on the future Occupational structure, but also to improve the knowledge about the economic interdependencies, further advances of the QuBe-E4.0 project are planned." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))
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industry 4 0 and the consequences for labour market and economy scenario calculations in line with the bibb iab qualifications and Occupational Field projections industrie 4 0 und die folgen fur arbeitsmarkt und wirtschaft szenario rechnungen im rahm
IAB-Forschungsbericht, 2015Co-Authors: Marc Ingo Wolter, Tobias Maier, Anke Monnig, Gerd Zika, Markus Hummel, Enzo Weber, Robert Helmrich, Christian Schneemann, Caroline NeuberpohlAbstract:"This study focuses on the economic effects of the phenomenon of 'Industry 4.0', the digitalisation of the production processes. These developments involve considerable challenges for companies as well as on a political level. This five-step scenario analysis begins with the impacts of increased investments in equipment (1) by companies and in the network infrastructure (2) by the government on the overall economy and the labour market. On this basis, we continue to model the consequential personnel and material costs of the companies (3) and a changed pattern of demand according to occupations and skills (4). The cumulative effects of these four partial scenarios are compared to a baseline scenario, which does not contain an advanced developmental path to Industry 4.0. In another scenario, the effects on the labour market of a potentially increasing demand for goods (5) are taken into consideration and also contrasted with the baseline scenario. The results show that Industry 4.0 will accelerate the structural change towards more services. In the process, labour force movements between sectors and occupations are significantly greater than the change of the number of employees overall. The turnover on the labour market is accompanied by an increasing added value, which not only leads to more economic assets but also - due to greater demands on the labour force - to higher aggregate wages. The underlying assumptions have a positive effect on the economic development. However, that also means that, given a delayed implementation, the assumptions are turning against the business location Germany: We will export less and demand more 'new' goods from abroad. In order to continue to improve the economic findings on the effects of digitization, a further development of the QUBE-I4.0-project is planned." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en)) Additional Information Ausgabe in deutscher Sprache
