The Experts below are selected from a list of 10887 Experts worldwide ranked by ideXlab platform
Rory Truex - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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focal points Dissident calendars and preemptive repression
Journal of Conflict Resolution, 2019Co-Authors: Rory TruexAbstract:This article explains temporal variation in repression as a function of the “Dissident calendar,” the set of events that serve as natural focal points for coordination. The core argument is that re...
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focal points Dissident calendars and preemptive repression
Social Science Research Network, 2016Co-Authors: Rory TruexAbstract:This paper develops and tests a theory that explains temporal variation in repression as a function of the "Dissident calendar," the set of events that serve as natural focal points for coordination. The core argument is that regimes can anticipate the events that create these focal points and engage in preemptive repression to survive their passing. This dynamic produces predictable, often cyclical patterns in repression. An analysis of Dissident detentions in China from 1998 to 2014 shows that "focal events" alone appear to be responsible for more than 20% of Dissident detentions over the analysis period. Such detentions tend to be shorter and rely less on formal criminal procedures, suggesting a "catch-and-release" dynamic. Additional analyses of detentions in Tibet shows how the calendar may vary by issue or group.
Benjamin Nathans - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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talking fish on soviet Dissident memoirs
The Journal of Modern History, 2015Co-Authors: Benjamin NathansAbstract:On July 6, 1968, at a party in Moscow celebrating the twenty-eighth birthday of Pavel Litvinov, two guests who had never met before lingered late into the night. Litvinov, a physics teacher and the grandson of Stalin’s Commissar of Foreign Affairs, Maxim Litvinov, had recently made a name for himself as the coauthor of a samizdat text, “An Appeal to World Opinion,” that had garnered wide attention inside and outside the Soviet Union. He had been summoned several times by the Committee for State Security ðKGBÞ for what it called “prophylactic talks.” Many of those present at the party were, like Litvinov, connected in one way or another to the Dissident movement, a loose conglomeration of Soviet citizens who had initially coalesced around the 1966 trial of the writers Andrei Sinyavsky and Yuli Daniel, seeking to defend civil rights inscribed in the Soviet constitution and
Christopher M Sullivan - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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political repression and the destruction of Dissident organizations evidence from the archives of the guatemalan national police
World Politics, 2016Co-Authors: Christopher M SullivanAbstract:How does repression influence overt, collective challenges directed against political authority? To date, answers to this question have been inconclusive. This article argues that recent works inadequately address the topic because the focus has been on repression’s impact on local civilians, with less consideration of Dissident organizations. The author develops an organizational theory of challenger development and specifies predictions for how repression’s effects on dissent are contingent upon the types of organizational behaviors targeted for coercion. The analysis employs original, microlevel data collected from previously confidential Guatemalan National Police records to assess the effects of repression during the years 1975 to 1985. Results show that the effects of repression are more complex than previously imagined. When repression targets the clandestine activities necessary to develop and sustain Dissident organizations, such as holding meetings, training participants, and campaigning for funds, dissent declines significantly. But when repression is directed at ongoing, overt, collective challenges, it motivates a backlash that escalates dissent. Implications are drawn for how political order and conflict are understood and studied.
Jonathan Tonge - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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a campaign without end Dissident republican violence in northern ireland
Political Insight, 2014Co-Authors: Jonathan TongeAbstract:The greatest threat to stability in Northern Ireland comes from Dissident republicans opposed to the peace process. But are these rejectionists a dying gasp or another phase of a centuries-old struggle against British rule in Ireland? Jon Tonge investigates.
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no one likes us we don t care Dissident irish republicans and mandates
The Political Quarterly, 2012Co-Authors: Jonathan TongeAbstract:The episodic Dissident republican activity evident in Northern Ireland since the Good Friday Agreement has been accompanied by regular assertions from the police, politicians and commentators that Dissidents have no backing. This article examines the historic importance of mandates and support for previous and contemporary republican armed campaigns. It explores whether violent republicans have ever enjoyed widespread support in Ireland and assesses the extent to which a lack of backing has precluded violent campaigns. The piece analyses the evidence regarding the lack of sympathy for current Dissident violence, assessing the degree to which armed republicanism has reached a new level of isolation.
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menace without mandate is there any sympathy for Dissident irish republicanism in northern ireland
Terrorism and Political Violence, 2012Co-Authors: Jocelyn Evans, Jonathan TongeAbstract:Dissident Irish Republicans have increased their violent activities in recent years. These “spoilers” reject the 1998 Good Friday Agreement power-sharing deal between Unionist and Nationalist traditions in Northern Ireland. Instead Dissident IRAs vow to maintain an armed campaign against Britain's sovereign claim to Northern Ireland and have killed British soldiers, police officers, and civilians in recent years. These groups have small political organisations with which they are associated. The assumption across the political spectrum is that, whereas Sinn Fein enjoyed significant electoral backing when linked to the now vanished Provisional IRA, contemporary violent Republican ultras and their political associates are utterly bereft of sympathy. Drawing upon new data from the Economic and Social Research Council 2010 Northern Ireland election survey, the first academic study to ask the electorate its views of Dissident Republicans, this article examines whether there are any clusters of sympathy for the...
John F Morrison - One of the best experts on this subject based on the ideXlab platform.
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risk factors for violent Dissident republican incidents in belfast a comparison of bombings and bomb hoaxes
Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 2019Co-Authors: Zoe Marchment, Paul Gill, John F MorrisonAbstract:To identify risk factors for bombings and bomb hoaxes committed by Dissident Republicans in Belfast, Northern Ireland. Risk terrain modelling (RTM) was applied to each type of incident to identify significant risk layers. Previous protests and riots [relative risk value (RRV) of 14.07; spatial influence (SI) of 100 m], punishment attacks (RRV 6.56; SI 300 m) and areas dense with pubs and bars (RRV 4.98; SI 200 m) were identified as risk factors for bombings. Punishment attacks (RRV 10.77; SI 100 m), police stations (RRV 8.76; SI of 200 m) and places dense with shops (RRV 6.94; SI 400 m) were identified as risk factors for bomb hoaxes. Descriptive statistics regarding predictive accuracy concluded that half of incidents for both types occurred in high or very high risk cells in a 3-year post-study period. RTM could be a useful tool in guiding targeted responses to the Dissident Republican threat in Belfast. The results suggest that there is some assessment of risk by the offenders, and that they are selecting targets rationally. Due to the differences in risk factors for the two types of events it can be proposed that there may be differences between targets relevant to ideology and realistic targets with increased chance of success.
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here to stay the rising threat of violent Dissident republicanism in northern ireland
Terrorism and Political Violence, 2011Co-Authors: John Horgan, John F MorrisonAbstract:Since the advent of the Good Friday peace agreement, violence associated with Dissident Irish Republican groups continues to present major security challenges. While there has not been a tragedy on the scale of the 1998 Omagh bombing, the level of violent Dissident Republican (VDR) activity has risen steadily in frequency since then, and in 2010 reached unprecedented levels. This article presents findings from the VDR Project at the International Center for the Study of Terrorism at Pennsylvania State University. The research is based on the extensive identification, collection, and analysis of open source material examining the nature and extent of VDR activity from 1997 to 2010. The project analyses data on VDR activity across this period as well as the individuals taking part in these violent events. The data suggests that while originally recruitment was predominantly southern based it is now more focused on Northern Ireland. Analysis of the data also indicates that the VDR leadership continues to recruit individuals with skill-sets to serve the movement's aims.